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VHT

What Is Making Volpara A Steady Performer?

Stuart Lucy

Stuart Lucy is an Investment Specialist at the Australian Stock Report, and has gained exposure to funds management and investment banking throughout his career. He draws on this experience to provide macroeconomic commentary and actionable investment insights to clients. Stuart is responsible for writing reports, is involved in delivering Macrovue webinars and provides general advice to our members on portfolio construction. Stuart currently holds RG146 General and Securities qualifications.

Volpara Health Technologies Limited (ASX: VHT)  is a company specialising in the early detection of breast cancer. What is interesting about the business though is its structure as a software as a service (SAAS) company. This is very different to most companies operating in the biotech space, but their investment in a SAAS solution enables them to utilise the power of AI to specialise in the early detection of breast cancer. A SAAS based solution is easily scalable and has predictive power beyond that of humans.

Volpara - steady performer
Volpara’s share price has more than tripled over the past five years (Credit: Volpara)

The potential for AI and automation to disrupt medicine has been known for some time. A few decades ago, Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman, the latter of whom was later awarded a Nobel prize, sought to develop an algorithm to predict cancer, based on a simple series of yes or no questions. They developed this basic test based on information obtained from studying several doctors and finding out the tell-tale signs of cancer. The predictive power of this simple test that was developed from data provided by doctors turned out to be more accurate than even the best of the doctors in the sample. If a simple test based on data provided by a group of doctors collectively has more accuracy than any doctor in isolation, the power of a more advanced AI based solution could be immense.

This power is precisely what Volpara is aiming to capture, and the company is aiming to reduce deaths around the world by 500k. Early detection is very important in cancer, since it can significantly increase the chance of survival. The company has a strong competitive moat, patented technology and gross margins above 80%, highlighting the company’s strengths. Volpara has a first mover’s advantage and a strong sales team, helping achieve the company’s strong growth numbers. Nevertheless, at 48x Revenue, the company will have to continue executing well or it will disappoint investor expectations.

 


 

Disclaimer:

This article has been prepared by the Australian Stock Report Pty Ltd (AFSL: 301 682. ABN: 94 106 863 978)

(“ASR”). ASR is part of Amalgamated Australian Investment Group Limited (AAIG) (ABN: 81 140 208 288 Level 13, 130 Pitt Street, Sydney NSW 2000).

This article is provided for informational purpose only and does not purport to contain all matters relevant to any particular investment or financial instrument. Any market commentary in this communication is not intended to constitute “research” as defined by applicable regulations. Whilst information published on or accessed via this website is believed to be reliable, as far as permitted by law we make no representations as to its ongoing availability, accuracy or completeness. Any quotes or prices used herein are current at the time of preparation. This document and its contents are proprietary information and products of our firm and may not be reproduced or otherwise disseminated in whole or in part without our written consent unless required to by judicial or administrative proceeding. The ultimate decision to proceed with any transaction rests solely with you. We are not acting as your advisor in relation to any information contained herein. Any projections are estimates only and may not be realised in the future.

ASR has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

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