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What Is Dividend Cover?

Tim Montague-Jones

Tim Montague-Jones has over 20 year investment management experience working in the financial markets. Previous experience includes a ten year stint at Morningstar as a Senior Equity Analyst/Portfolio Manager, founding the Morningstar Growth Portfolio and a founding member of their Investment Committee. Tim was also a Senior Equity Analyst for Macquarie Group and a member of the winning team to obtain the 2016 LONSEC Fund Manager of the Year award.

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What Is Dividend Cover?

Dividend Cover is a crucial financial metric that measures a company's ability to maintain its dividend payments from its earnings. It reveals how sustainable a company's dividend payments are and helps investors avoid what's known as the "dividend yield trap" - where high dividend yields actually signal potential financial distress rather than attractive returns.

This makes Dividend Cover a vital measure because it helps you assess whether a company's dividends are sustainable, not just attractive at first glance. After all, a company might offer an enticing dividend yield while struggling to maintain those payments from its earnings. In investing, sustainability is key, and Dividend Cover is essential for understanding how well a company can maintain its dividend payments.

 

Why Focus on Dividend Cover?

Dividend Cover provides crucial insights into dividend sustainability that yield figures alone can't show. Here's why it's important:

  1. More Revealing Than Yield: While dividend yield can be attractive, Dividend Cover shows whether those dividends are actually sustainable from earnings
  2. Early Warning System: A low or declining Dividend Cover can signal potential dividend cuts before they happen
  3. Shows Financial Strength: High Dividend Cover indicates a company can easily maintain or even grow its dividends
  4. Helps Avoid Yield Traps: Prevents investors from being lured by unsustainably high dividend yields that may soon be reduced

 

How to Calculate Dividend Cover

The basic formula for Dividend Cover is straightforward:

Dividend Cover = Net Profit Available to Shareholders ÷ Total Dividend Payments

Let's look at a practical example:

  • Company profit: $100 million
  • Dividend payments: $25 million
  • Dividend Cover = $100m ÷ $25m = 4

This means the company's earnings cover its dividend payments 4 times over, indicating strong dividend sustainability.

 

Understanding the Dividend Yield Trap

The Dividend Yield Trap is a common pitfall for investors where high dividend yields actually signal potential problems:

  1. Counter-Intuitive Reality: What looks good (high yield) can be bad, and what looks bad (low yield) can be good
  2. Low Yields Can Be Positive: Companies with strong earnings often may have lower yields because they don't need to attract investors with high dividends
  3. High Yields Can Be Warning Signs: Double-digit yields often signal market scepticism about dividend sustainability

 

 

Want Expert Guidance?

ASR Wealth Advisers’ research team use these principles to identify attractive investment opportunities for investors. Download our free report: Top 3 Income and Dividend Stocks

 

 

We’re here to help you navigate investing with confidence, making informed choices for your financial future.

 

 

Interpreting Dividend Cover Levels

Different Dividend Cover levels signal different levels of security:

  1. 4x or Higher: Secure dividend with room for growth
  2. 2x to 3x: Comfortable dividend coverage
  3. 1.5x to 2x: Adequate but monitor closely
  4. Below 1.5x: Potential risk of dividend reduction
  5. Below 1x: Company is paying dividends from reserves rather than earnings

 

Why Dividend Cover Matters for Investors

Understanding Dividend Cover is crucial for different types of investors:

  1. Income Investors: Essential for ensuring reliable dividend streams for retirement income
  2. Long-term Investors: Helps identify companies that can sustain and grow dividends over time
  3. Value Investors: Assists in avoiding value traps disguised as high-yield opportunities
  4. Portfolio Managers: Critical for building reliable income-generating portfolios

 

Cautions When Evaluating Dividend Cover

While Dividend Cover is a powerful metric, consider these important factors:

  1. Earnings Volatility: Some industries naturally have more volatile earnings, affecting Dividend Cover
  2. Company Life Cycle: Growth companies might have lower payouts despite high coverage
  3. Cash Flow: Remember to consider cash flow, not just accounting profits
  4. Industry Norms: Different sectors have different typical Dividend Cover levels

 

Making Better Investment Decisions

 

Understanding Dividend Cover helps investors:

  1. Avoid Yield Traps: Don't be seduced by unsustainably high yields
  2. Identify Quality: Find companies with sustainable and growing dividends
  3. Manage Risk: Monitor dividend sustainability in your portfolio
  4. Plan Income: Build more reliable income streams for retirement

 

Putting It All Together

Dividend Cover is a crucial tool for income investors, helping them avoid the yield trap and find sustainable dividend-paying investments. By combining Dividend Cover analysis with other financial metrics, investors could build income-generating portfolios that align with their long-term investment goals. Remember, in dividend investing, sustainability is often more important than current yield.

 

Want Expert Guidance?

ASR Wealth Advisers’ research team use these principles to identify attractive investment opportunities for investors. Download our free report: Top 3 Income and Dividend Stocks

 

 

We’re here to help you navigate investing with confidence, making informed choices for your financial future.


Invest Well,
Australian Stock Report

 

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