The Numbers Behind the Shake-Up
CSL's half-year results for FY26, released on 11 February, paint a challenging picture. Revenue fell 4% to US$8.3 billion. Underlying net profit (NPATA) came in at US$1.9 billion, down 7%. Reported net profit fell 81% to US$401 million, dragged down by US$1.1 billion in impairments and up to US$770 million in restructuring costs.
The impairments largely relate to CSL Vifor, which is facing generic competition in its iron products, and the Seqirus vaccine technology platform. CSL Behring, the company's core plasma business, saw revenue decline 7%, while Vifor revenue rose 12%.
On a positive note, cash flow from operations rose 3% to US$1.3 billion, and the company expanded its share buyback from US$500 million to US$750 million. The interim dividend was maintained at US$1.30 per share.
CSL is maintaining full-year guidance of 2–3% revenue growth and 4–7% NPATA growth, excluding one-off items. But with confidence shaken, the market will want results, not promises.
What This Means for ASX Healthcare
CSL's troubles raise bigger questions about ASX healthcare. Over the past 12 months, CSL shares have fallen around 33%, while the ASX 200 has risen roughly 5%. Healthcare has underperformed resources and financials in 2026, partly because the RBA's rate hike to 3.85% on 3 February weighs on long-duration growth stocks like biotech companies.
CEO departures tend to hit healthcare stocks harder than other sectors. These businesses rely on long research pipelines and strategic continuity. A sudden leadership change creates uncertainty around product development and investor confidence, all of which CSL is dealing with now.
That said, CSL's underlying business remains substantial. It is a global leader in plasma therapies and is investing US$1.5 billion in expanding US manufacturing. At current prices, analysts note CSL is trading at its cheapest valuation in 14 years.
Key Takeaways for Investors
Leadership transitions create short-term uncertainty but can signal a turning point. CSL's board has acknowledged underperformance and is acting with urgency.
Healthcare sector headwinds are real. Rising interest rates and a strong Australian dollar add pressure to offshore earners like CSL.
Valuations have reset significantly. After a 50%-plus decline from all-time highs, CSL's risk-reward profile looks different from what it did a year ago, though risks around execution and earnings recovery remain.
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