ASX Edges Lower as Oil Surges and Geopolitical Tensions Escalate

Tim Montague-Jones
Tim Montague-Jones
Head of Australian Equity Research
Tim Montague-Jones has over 20 years of investment management experience working in the financial markets. Previous experience includes a ten year stint at Morningstar as a Senior Equity Analyst/Portfolio Manager, founding the Morningstar Growth Portfolio and a founding member of their Investment Committee. Tim was also a Senior Equity Analyst for Macquarie Group and a member of the winning team to obtain the 2016 LONSEC Fund Manager of the Year award.

The ASX200 finished down 0.09%, with losses in Utilities, Materials, Info Tech, and Healthcare. The Financials sector managed to post modest gains, cushioning the broader market's decline.

On the commodities front, Aluminium, Copper, and Zinc prices fell, reflecting softer global demand expectations. Nickel was the exception, rising slightly.

ASX Edges Lower as Oil Surges and Geopolitical Tensions Escalate

ASX Edges Lower as Oil Surges and Geopolitical Tensions Escalate

Date: 20 June 2025
By Tim Montague Jones

Australian shares slipped on Thursday, while global investors weighed rising oil prices, geopolitical tensions, and economic warnings from Russia. With U.S. markets closed for the Juneteenth public holiday, attention shifted to commodity price moves and news out of the Middle East and Europe.

ASX200 Ends Slightly Lower

The ASX200 finished down 0.09%, with losses in Utilities, Materials, Info Tech, and Healthcare. The Financials sector managed to post modest gains, cushioning the broader market's decline.

On the commodities front, Aluminium, Copper, and Zinc prices fell, reflecting softer global demand expectations. Nickel was the exception, rising slightly.

Commodities Mixed: Oil Rallies on Iran Risks

Brent crude surged 2.7% to US$78.74 per barrel, as tensions in the Middle East flared. Reports suggest Iran is ramping up oil exports in anticipation of further Israeli strikes on its infrastructure, especially around Kharg Island — a key oil export hub. Satellite imagery indicates Iran’s storage tanks are now full, suggesting a strategic push to maximise revenue before any potential disruption.

Gold remained flat at US$3,381.35 an ounce, while iron ore slipped 0.2% to US$94.71 a tonne, pressured by weak demand signals from China.

U.S. Markets Closed but Risks Remain

U.S. equity markets were shut for the Juneteenth holiday, though geopolitical and macro risks remain front of mind. Investors are still digesting the Federal Reserve’s recent guidance and preparing for potential volatility as global growth slows.

Web Travel Group Appoints Industry Veterans

Web Travel Group announced the appointment of two new independent non-executive directors: Paul Scurrah, former CEO of Virgin Australia, and Melanie Wilson, a director at JB Hi-Fi and Oroton Group. The board refresh follows the company’s recent demerger, with director Brad Holman set to retire in September.

Chair Roger Sharp said the appointments would bring "strong credentials, fresh perspectives, and deep experience" to the board as the company enters a new phase.

Free ASX Market Outlook & Top Stock Picks for 2025

Instantly access our exclusive report and see which stocks our analysts are backing for growth this year.

Industry Report
  •  3 quality yield income stocks to buy
  •  Where to diversify your portfolio now
  •  How to balance risk and reward when investing

Download now to access expert research from ASRW analysts and strengthen your investment strategy.

Russia on Recession Watch

In a rare admission, Russia’s Economy Minister Maxim Reshetnikov said the country is “on the brink of going into a recession.” Speaking at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, Reshetnikov cited deteriorating business conditions and weakening indicators, suggesting Russia’s economy is already beginning to contract.

This adds to the global economic headwinds facing investors, particularly as energy markets remain sensitive to developments in both Russia and the Middle East.

Outlook

With rising geopolitical risks, weaker commodity demand, and signals of slowing global growth, markets are treading cautiously. Investors remain focused on defensive sectors and are closely monitoring developments in oil, energy infrastructure, and macro policy.

Our friendly team is here to help.

If you have any questions or feedback about our service, please feel free to contact us.