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Woolworths Group Ltd FY20 Result – Share Price Up On Positive Result

Timothy Anderson

Timothy Anderson is a contributor with the Australian Stock Report and is currently in his final year of studying a Bachelor of Applied Economics and a Bachelor of International Relations and Politics at the University of Canberra. Tim has a genuine passion for economics, specifically in macroeconomic analysis including how certain macroeconomic policies and indicators affect financial markets and the economy, as well as how these factors affect personal investment strategies. Tim currently holds RG146 Tier 1 Generic Knowledge qualifications.

Woolworth’s Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) business comprises supermarkets in Australia and New Zealand, Big W discount department stores and drinks and hospitality (known as the Endeavour Group).

 

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Woolworths has a market capitalisation of $46.5 billion. Woolworths has over $A60 billion of sales annually. This represents around 20% of retail sales in Australia. In terms of food and grocery sales, Woolworths market share is around 37% compared to Coles' market share of 29%.

What are the key features of Woolworths FY20 result?

Woolworths reported FY20 group sales of $63,675 million, up 8.1% from FY19. Online sales for FY20 is $3,523 million, up 41.8% from FY19. Net profit after tax for FY20 is $1,602 million, down 1.2% from FY19. Woolworths will pay a dividend per share of 94 cents (fully franked).

Regarding Woolworths specific operations, Australian Food normalised sales increased by 8.3% in FY20. 1H20 sales grew by 6.4%, this was driven by the success of the Lion King Ooshies and Woolworths Discovery Garden community campaigns. In 2H20, sales grew by 10.4%, this was attributed to higher in-home consumption due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

New Zealand Food normalised sales increased by 9.1% in FY20. Like Australian Food, this result was mainly driven by the strong performance in 2H20 due to strong demand. This was caused due to government-imposed lockdown rules that only allow major supermarkets, pharmacies and dairies (convenience) to be open during 26 March 2020 to 27 April 2020.

Big W normalised gross profit as a percentage of sales increased by 60 basis points in FY20. The increase in margin of 137 bps in 1H20 partly offset by a shift in category mix during H2 towards lower margin categories including Leisure and Toys.

Endeavour Drinks normalised sales increased by 9.9% in FY20. This was attributed to higher in-home consumption due to government restrictions, which limited on-premise consumption of alcohol.

Hotel’s normalised sales declined by 19.5% in FY20. Hotel sales in 1H20 increased by 6.1% but in 2H20 sales declined by significantly. This was due to the closure of venues from 23 March 2020 due to government-mandated restrictions.

What is the outlook for Woolworths?

Woolworth’s management noted sales growth for the first 8-weeks of FY21, with Australia Food up 11.9%, New Zealand Food up 8.3%, Big W sales up 21.1%, Endeavour Drinks up 23.7% and Hotel is 31.3%.

In the short-term, all of Woolworth’s business sales have benefited from the pandemic, apart from Woolworth Hotels. However, it is important to note that once conditions normalise and a vaccine is developed, sales growth should return to normal.

Woolworths is a defensive stock, with comparatively stable earnings and dividends. Over the longer term, Woolworths growth should be underpinned by population growth of around 1.5 per cent annually and running the existing business better than their competitors. In addition, Woolworths has captured a large section of the market, which should underpin long-term sustainable growth moving forward.

What is the market’s reaction?

The market reaction to Woolworths FY20 result is positive. Woolworth share price is up around 2.3% and is currently trading at A$40.17. Woolworth is trading at a forward P/E ratio in the low-thirties and has an annual dividend yield of around 2.5%.


 

Disclaimer:

This article has been prepared by the Australian Stock Report Pty Ltd (AFSL: 301 682. ABN: 94 106 863 978)
(“ASR”). ASR is part of Amalgamated Australian Investment Group Limited (AAIG) (ABN: 81 140 208 288 Level 13, 130 Pitt Street, Sydney NSW 2000).
This article is provided for informational purpose only and does not purport to contain all matters relevant to any particular investment or financial instrument. Any market commentary in this communication is not intended to constitute “research” as defined by applicable regulations. Whilst information published on or accessed via this website is believed to be reliable, as far as permitted by law, we make no representations as to its ongoing availability, accuracy or completeness. Any quotes or prices used herein are current at the time of preparation. This document and its contents are proprietary information and products of our firm and may not be reproduced or otherwise disseminated in whole or in part without our written consent unless required to by judicial or administrative proceeding. The ultimate decision to proceed with any transaction rests solely with you. We are not acting as your advisor in relation to any information contained herein. Any projections are estimates only and may not be realised in the future.
ASR has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

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