List of Stocks to Watch in 2012|Top Shares Picks in 2012At the start of a new year traders and investors alike invariably look to the potential that the new horizon brings.

After a tumultuous 2011, this year that sentiment is even more pronounced as market participants put the last 12-months in their rear-view and look to better times ahead.

At Australian Stock Report we don’t particularly care for long dated predictions about the market as a whole – too much can change too quickly.

We are prepared however, to outline a few stocks that will make for interesting reading in 2012.

Below is a list of stocks to watch in 2012 and a brief outline as to why we think so.

List of Stocks to Watch in 2012|Top Shares Picks in 2012QR National (ASX:QRN) / Asciano (ASX:AIO) – Both companies operate in the transportation industry and are highly leveraged to the mining sector. While they are in competition with each other, both can prosper with the mining boom likely to drive industry revenue. QRN and AIO are likely to List of Stocks to Watch in 2012|Top Shares Picks in 2012experience strong growth from the Queensland area as the state’s coal output moves back into full swing after last year’s floods caused havoc with production.

List of Stocks to Watch in 2012|Top Shares Picks in 2012ANZ (ASX:ANZ) – Our bank of choice is ANZ. While we can’t see an extreme decoupling in price between the big four over the next year, ANZ is our preferred exposure to this sector. ANZ has the second lowest P/E based on current earnings and has a dividend yield approaching 7%, which should provide some support for the stock at this level. The company also has the most exposure to the growing Asian region and one of the lowest exposures to the slowing domestic residential market.

List of Stocks to Watch in 2012|Top Shares Picks in 2012BHP Billiton (ASX:BHP) / Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) – These mining giants are poised for growth in 2012. Both companies were weighed down last year as the market factored in the effects of a possible hard landing in China. It is becoming more evident however, that any slowdown in the ChiList of Stocks to Watch in 2012|Top Shares Picks in 2012nese economy will be akin to a soft landing instead. The other factor that could buoy the mining giants is increased commodity prices due to the likely introduction of further monetary stimulus by the US Federal Reserve.

List of Stocks to Watch in 2012|Top Shares Picks in 2012WorleyParsons (ASX:WOR) – Worley’s provides professional engineering and management services to the energy, resources and complex process industries. The company has significant leverage to the energy sector, specifically through its hydrocarbons (compounds founds in crude oil) division. The company will benefit from any oil supply/demand imbalance that drives up prices. Indeed, some analysts are predicting the price of oil will increase dramatically due to the political unrest in the Middle East. Higher oil prices will encourage the big oil companies to ramp up capital expenditure to the benefit of WOR. The company also has demonstrated an ability to land contracts with the major oil players, evidenced by its recent contract win for the Chevron project in Indonesia.

List of Stocks to Watch in 2012|Top Shares Picks in 2012Saracen Mineral Holdings (ASX:SAR) – On the smaller side of the market, Saracen is a mid-tier WA gold producer that was added to the S&P/ASX 200 on the 28th of December, 2011. This company has forecast gold production of between 120,000 -130,000 ounces of gold a year, which was reaffirmed in a recent update. Saracen is also trying to expand its business with $35 million of capital expenditure planned for the current financial year. The capital expenditure is substantial for a company of SAR’s size, but a strong net cash position of $58 million significantly reduces the funding risk.

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ASX Stocks to Buy: WorleyParsons (WOR)|WOR Shares NewsWorleyParsons (ASX:WOR) provides professional engineering and management services to the energy, resource and complex process industries.

It offers a broad range of services, from feasibility studies to design and project services, and is exposed to a number of sectors.

The group is a leader in its industry and has established long-term relationships with a number of blue-chip companies.

Despite facing obstacles in FY11, WOR was able to grow its profit and revenue, with the Hydrocarbons business driving the result.

Moreover, WorleyParsons is ideally placed for the future, as the lure of high energy prices is likely to drive demand for its services from the bigger oil companies.

Hyper about Hydrocarbons

The majority of WOR’s earnings are in the Hydrocarbons (oil and gas) division.  WOR’s leverage to the energy market is a key attraction, particularly as demand for oil and gas is expected to strengthen due to emerging market growth.

The oil supply/demand imbalance (dwindling oil supplies vs. growing energy demand) is only expected to worsen due to this growth.

The lure of energy price appreciation is likely to encourage oil companies to ramp up capex spending, which puts WorleyParsons in an ideal position to accelerate its contract win rate.

WOR has had a positive start to 2012, winning two major contracts in January.  The first was a US$115 million contract with ExxonMobil, and the second was a US$180 million contract with Chevron (split with a 50/50 JV partner).

LNG is the future

The big oil companies have recognised that the world is moving towards more unconventional sources of energy such as LNG.

There are a number of massive projects being undertaken throughout Australia, and WOR has had a hand in some of the key ones such as Pluto and Wheatstone.

WOR’s experience in developing LNG projects, coupled with the established relationships it has with its blue-chip clients, makes it ideally placed to benefit from this increased focus on alternative energy.

Outlook

As the global growth engine continues to shift from developed economies to the developing regions, there will be increased demand for commodities.

As mining companies look to meet this demand, there is going to be a significant increase in capex activities over the coming years.

This will strengthen the market for WOR’s services, providing it with plenty of growth opportunities, especially in the hydrocarbons space.

WOR is in a sound financial position and is expected to continue the positive earnings momentum into FY12.

Based on one year forward earnings, WOR is trading at a more than 50% premium to the industry average.

Whilst this may appear to suggest the company is overvalued, we feel the premium is justified when considering WOR’s relatively stronger growth prospects, cash flow generation and a five-year average return on equity of over 20%.

The long-term relationships WorleyParsons has fostered with its blue-chip clients is likely to yield considerable benefits for the company, particularly as miners look to capitalise on rising commodity prices as well as the world’s shift to alternative energy sources.

We believe that WOR is poised for growth, and is defiantly a stock to watch for 2012.

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ASX Shares to Buy News: WorleyParsons (WOR)|ASX WOR StocksWorleyParsons (ASX:WOR) provides professional engineering and management services to the energy, resource and complex process industries.

WOR offers a broad range of services, from feasibility studies to design and project services, and is exposed to a number of sectors.

The group is a leader in its industry and has established long-term relationships with a number of companies, including some blue chip stocks.

Despite facing obstacles in FY11, WOR was able to grow its profit and revenue, with the Hydrocarbons business driving the result.

Moreover, WOR is ideally placed for the future, as the lure of higher energy prices is likely to drive demand for its services from the bigger oil companies.

FY11 results highlight underlying strength

On 24 August, WOR reported a 25% lift in FY11 net profit to $364.2 million. On an underlying basis, profit was up 2.5% to $298.5 million, matching previous guidance.

A final dividend of 50 cents was declared, bringing the full year dividend to 86 cents per share.

It was a solid result considering WOR faced a number of headwinds such as the strengthening AUD, Middle East instability and natural disasters.

The result didn’t really reflect the strength of the underlying business. Revenue grew 19% on-year to $5.9 billion, driving by a strong performance in the Hydrocarbons business.

The group was also in financially strong shape, with a gearing ratio of just 22% and operating cash flow growth of 5.1% in FY11. Moreover it had more than 50% in untapped debt facilities.

Taken together, this tells us WOR has significant firepower to expand its business –organically and/or through M&A activity.

The group forecast good underlying profit growth in FY12, continuing the momentum displayed in the 2H11. The guidance was reaffirmed at WOR’s AGM last week.

Hyper about Hydrocarbons

The majority of WOR’s earnings are in the Hydrocarbons division. Hydrocarbons are organic compounds, found mostly in crude oil.

WOR’s leverage to the energy market is a key attraction, particularly as demand for oil and gas is expected to strength in coming years due to emerging market growth.

The recent market turbulence has raised questions about faltering energy demand in the developed economies, which has been a factor behind WorleyParson’s recent share price weakness.

However we believe these fears are overblown given the oil supply/demand imbalance (dwindling oil supplies vs. growing energy demand) is only expected to worsen in coming years.

The lure of energy price appreciation at a time of growing demand is likely to see the big energy companies continue their ramp up of capex spending, putting WOR in an ideal position to accelerate its contract win rate.

LNG is the future

The big oil companies have also recognized that the world is moving towards more unconventional sources of energy such as LNG.

There are number of massive projects being undertaken throughout Australia, and WOR has had a hand in some of the key ones such as Pluto and more recently, Wheatstone.

WOR won a $235 million contract from Chevron for the construction of management services at the Wheatstone Project.

WOR’s experience in developing LNG projects, coupled with the established relationships it has with its blue-chip clients, makes it ideally placed to benefit from this increased focus on alternative energy.

Outlook

As the global growth engine continues to shift from developed economies to the developing regions, there will be increased demand for commodities.

As mining companies look to meet this demand, there is going to be a significant increase in capex activities over the coming years.

This will strengthen the market for WOR’s services, providing it with plenty of growth opportunities, especially in the hydrocarbons space.

WOR is in sound financial position and is expected to continue the positive earnings momentum into FY12.

The long-term relationships WOR has fostered with its blue-chip clients is likely to yield considerable benefits for the company, particularly as miners look to capitalize on rising commodity prices as well as the world’s shift to alternative energy sources.

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ASX Hot Stocks: WorleyParsons (WOR)|ASX WOR|WOR SharesWorleyParsons (ASX:WOR) provides professional engineering and management services to the energy, resource and complex process industries.

It offers a broad scope of services, from feasibility studies to design and project services, and is exposed to a number of sectors.

Today, WOR reported a 25% lift in FY11 net profit to $364.2 million, although its underlying result of $298.5 million missed analyst estimates.

WOR was able to grow its earnings despite the impact of the soaring AUD and turmoil in the Middle East.

The group was forecasting good underlying profit growth in FY12, continuing the momentum displayed in the 2H11.

A final dividend of 50 cents was declared.

WOR has been one of the hot stocks in today’s trade, with its almost 10% gain far outpacing the Australian share market.

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WorleyParsons (WOR) provides professional engineering and management services to the energy, resource and complex process industries.

WOR will be one of the shares to watch in coming months, as there is a good possibility its earnings are being negatively impacted by the stronger Australian dollar.

It offers a broad scope of services, from feasibility studies to design and project services.

On 13 October, WOR announced the award of a contract extension from ExxonMobil to provide engineering and project delivery services in Nigeria.

The project, scheduled to be delivered over the next four years, will involve the delivery of new unmanned wellhead platforms, 78 kilometres of pipelines, risers and associated brownfield tie-ins.

WOR shares dropped almost 2% on the day, whilst the share market fell 1.7%.


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