News Corporation (NWS) is a diversified media conglomerate with interests all over the world and in most facets of media.

NWS is broken up into six main segments:

>>Cable Network Programming, which includes names like the FOX News Channel, FOX Business Network, FX, STAR and many other popular pay-TV channels.
>>Filmed Entertainment, which includes Fox Filmed Entertainment, Twentieth Century Fox Television and Fox Television Studios.
>>Television, which includes the FOX Broadcasting Company, the 27 stations in the Fox Television Stations group, and various television operations throughout the world.
>>Publishing, this includes over 150 newspaper brands and book publisher HarperCollins.
>>Director Broadcast Satellite Television, which includes several pay TV providers, such as Australia’s FOXTEL.
>>Other, is a broad segment that pretty much covers any other assets don’t fit into any of the above categories, such as a JV with NBC and Disney to create an online video site.

By the end of June, News Corp. plans to split its giant entertainment businesses, which include its 20th Century Fox film studio and Fox television assets, from its publishing division to create two separately listed companies.

2Q24 Results

NWS’ second quarter results were solid. The company’s revenue was $9.43 billion, up 5% on the same period in 2012.

The group’s underlying operating income was $1.66 billion, a 5% increase on the second quarter of the prior year.

Double-digit revenue growth in the Cable and Television businesses, along with improvements in the Publishing segment, drove group revenue and earnings growth.

Fox Sports

NWS announced its plans to launch a new USA sports network, Fox Sports 1, on August 17. The new network will be available in around 90 million homes, according to the company.

The new channels are being launched through a rebranding of Fox’s existing Speed network, a niche cable channel dedicated to motor sports.

Offerings on the channel include; Major League Baseball, Primetime Basketball, Primetime Football, NASCAR events; and soccer games including UEFA Champions League and Europa League, as well as the FIFA Women’s World Cup in 2015/2019 and the FIFA Men’s World Cup in 2018/2022.

Speed currently charges 22 cents per subscriber. We would expect this fee to be significantly higher given the wide variety of coverage, but we don’t see this being nearly as high as ESPN’s charge of $5.

Outlook

NWS’ 2Q13 results were solid and we expect more of the same in the upcoming 3Q results.

We expect the publishing division to perform strongly with independent data released showing NWS’s flagship product, The Wall Street Journal, maintaining its position as the USA’s largest newspaper by average weekday circulation.

The paper had an average weekday circulation of 2.4 million, including print and digital subscribers, as of March 31, up 12% from a year earlier.

We believe this, coupled with the optimism surrounding the new Fox Sports 1, will see continued share price appreciation for NWS in the near-term.

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JB Hi-Fi (JBH) is a chain of electrical stores, selling leading brands of hi-fi, speakers, televisions, DVDs, cameras, car sound, home theatre, computers, white goods, portable audio and a variety of music, games and movies.

The company has been able to grow its sales over the last 5 years in what can only be described as one of the most difficult trading conditions for retailers in over 20 years.

JBH’s strategies for growth are simple: increase the number of stores, increase sales, and through that, increase profit.

JBH’s expansion is not only in the Australian market, but also in New Zealand. Since entering the New Zealand market in early 2007, it has opened 14 stores.

1H13 Results

JBH’s 1H13 results impressed on several fronts. Sales for the six months to December 31 were $1.81 billion, up 3.1% on the prior corresponding half.

Net profit was $82.1 million, up 3% on the 1H12 result. The group also declared an interim dividend of 50 cents per share, fully franked. This equates to a solid yield of around 6.5% at current prices.

Perhaps the most surprising number released by JBH was its gross margin, which rose by 28 basis points. This number is made even more impressive when it is compared to competitor, Harvey Norman, whose gross margin dropped 260 basis points over the same period.

Consumer environment

The operating environment for the retail sectors has been subdued over the last few years, but this appears to be abating. The latest release of the Westpac Consumer Sentiment survey, showed the consumer sentiment index rising 2% to 110.5 in February.

It is the highest level the index has reached since the end of 2010. A reading above 100 indicates that more consumers are optimistic about the economy rather than pessimistic, with the index having been in the positive territory for the past five months.

There are likely a few reasons for the uplift, with the RBA cutting the cash rate to 1.75% between November 2011 and December 2012, probably the key reason.

Looking ahead

JBH’s 1H13 results showed sales growth and more importantly, expanding margins. While these expanding margins initially helped the company’s profitability, they will be more significant when industry wide sales growth return to trend.

Retail sales figures in January already have hinted of such a return, with an increase of 0.9% from December. Confirming these retail numbers, JBH noted that its sales climbed 11.7% during January (4.2% like-for-like sales growth).

With the consumer sentiment reading at all-time highs and sales growth starting the year off with such a strong number, we see a solid result ahead for JBH, which should translate to further share price appreciation.

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ANZ Banking Group (ANZ) is the nation’s third-largest bank by market capitalisation, and is among the top 50 banks in the world.

The group provides a variety of banking and financial products and services to around 8 million customers, and employs 48,000 people worldwide.

ANZ operates in Australia, New Zealand, Asia, the Pacific, the Middle East, Europe and America. In recent years the group’s strategy has shifted to become a super-regional bank. To this end, the bank is aiming for between 25-30% of its earnings to come from its Asia, Pacific, Europe and America Division (APEA) by 2017, with the major focus being the high growth Asian region.

China manufacturing in expansion mode

For much of the early part of 2012 the discussion surrounding China was whether it was heading for a hard landing or a soft landing. The fears of a hard landing abated by the end of 2012’s second half, helped by China’s central bank adopting an easing bias towards monetary policy.

Measures including lower interest rates and targeted fiscal stimulus appear to be flowing through to China’s manufacturing sector, which is beginning to expand after an extended period of contraction. Last month, the HSBC Flash PMI showed factory activity accelerated to a two year high in January.

A pickup in manufacturing activity is important for ANZ as it implies Chinese companies are taking advantage of easier credit conditions and borrowing money in order to expand.

What to look for in trading update

ANZ’s FY12 results revealed a 2.6% increase in FY12 cash profit to $5.75 billion.  The APEA strategy also continues to be a key driver for ANZ’s overall business.

In FY12 this region’s income comprised 21% of overall profit, putting the group on track to achieve its aim for APEA to contribute 25% – 30% of overall profit by 2017.

Today CBA reported a 6% on-year rise in 1H13 cash profit to $3.78 billion.  Impressively, the result came on the back of a 6% increase in revenue.

The group’s net interest margin rose 4 basis points from the previous half, in a sign wholesale funding pressures are easing for the four majors. CBA’s first half results are a healthy indicator for the industry, and we expect ANZ to announce a similarly positive result when it provides a trading update for the first quarter later this week.

Outlook

ANZ’s FY12 results provide it with a good base to tackle FY13, and we expect some good news in its first quarter trading update. We will look for an improvement in interest margin and asset quality, as well as a cash profit driven by good cost control and evidence of top line growth.

The group’s exposure to Asia will continue to be an important earnings driver, and the benefits of this leverage will translate to further share price appreciation in our view.

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ANZ Banking Group (ANZ) is the nation’s third-largest bank by market capitalisation, and is among the top 50 banks in the world.

The group provides a variety of banking and financial products and services to around 8 million customers, and employs 48,000 people worldwide. ANZ operates in Australia, New Zealand, Asia, the Pacific, the Middle East, Europe and America.

In recent years the group’s strategy has shifted to become a super-regional bank. To this end, the bank is aiming for between 25-30% of its earnings to come from its Asia, Pacific, Europe and America Division (APEA) by 2017, with the major focus being the high growth Asian region.

FY12 results

ANZ’s FY12 results were good without being great. The banking major recorded FY12 statutory profit of $5.7 billion, up 6% from the FY11 result.

An increased capital base saw EPS only rise by 2% year on year, to 213.4 cents a share. Dividend growth over the financial year managed to outpace inflation, with a 4% increase to 145 cents a share.

We were most impressed with direction of the group’s super-regional strategy.

 
As the above shows the group managed to grow the income from APEA by 5% over FY12 to 21%. Notably the group also managed to slow down operating expense growth in the region from 11% to 4%.

The group’s APEA strategy continues to be a key driver for ANZ’s overall business results and we think this will continue as the group strives for a contribution of 25% – 30% of overall profit by 2017.

China expanding again!

For much of the early part of 2012 the discussion surrounding China was whether the slowdown in growth would be a hard landing or a soft landing. The fears of a hard landing abated by the end of the second half, helped by China’s central bank adopting an easing bias towards monetary policy.

The central bank actually began its stimulus measures in December 2011 when it implemented the first of a series of reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts. After cutting the RRR by 1.5% the PBOC then cut the country’s official interest rate by a little over 0.5% in the months of June and July.

These stimulus measures have began to show signs of flowing through to China’s manufacturing sector, which was the cornerstones of the country’s explosive growth of the last 10 years.

The month of November saw the HSBC Flash Manufacturing Index return a reading of over 50 for the first time in 12-months, indicating the sector had returned to expansion. Every month since that return to expansion was followed by an increase in the index, with yesterday’s reading of 51.9 marking a 24-month high.

Outlook

ANZ’s FY12 results provide it with a good base to tackle FY13. The year was not an easy one for the global banks in general, with the eurozone crisis leading to higher funding costs, which increased pressure on bank interest margins.

ANZ’s net interest margin contracted 11 basis points over the year. That being said, it was the group’s exposure to Asia that allowed it to grow earnings.

We believe that ANZ’s leverage to the growing Asian region will continue to benefit the company and this is expected to result in further share price appreciation.

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STW Communications (SGN) is Australasia’s largest marketing communications group, comprising over 75 specialist companies.

Through its subsidiaries, SGN works with Australasia’s biggest brands and some of the world’s biggest companies, including IBM, Ford, Panadol, Bendigo Bank, PepsiCo, Hyundai, Castrol and Dick Smith, to name just a few.s.

The acquisitions

In late October 2012, the company announced plans to acquire three companies, paid for via a $40 million capital raising. Markitforce (75% SGN ownership) is a leader in promotional campaign execution and point of sale fulfilment for local and global clients, with clients such as has Unilever, L’Oreal and Boehringer Ingelheim.

The acquisition will strengthen SGN’s execution capabilities and offer it exposure to the attractive retail and shopper marketing segment, which only adds to its already well diversified portfolio.

Maverick Marketing and Communications(Maverick) (80% SGN ownership) is a leader in experiential marketing from strategic and creative development through to execution. It has clients such as, Telstra BigPond, Coca Cola, Westpac, Bonds, Target and Vodafone to name a few.

The acquisition will provide SGN with experiential marketing capabilities, but we think it will provide a great opportunity for SGN’s current companies to leverage Maverick’s client base.

Switched on Media (SOM) (75% SGN Ownership) is a digital agency specialising in search engine marketing and social media. SOM’s client base includes Canon, Fairfax digital, Cochlear and Westfield. The acquisition of SOM will not only boost but also compliment SGN’s current digital capabilities.

Impact of acquisition

The total cost of the acquisitions (including Amblique) is $30.6 million; this includes an estimate of the likely earnout payments to the previous owners.

SGN forecast a full year contribution from the acquisitions for CY13 as follows: revenue of $29.8 million and EBITDA of $6.1 million. For CY13 the acquisitions are likely to be EPS neutral on a pre-synergy basis.

We expect synergy benefits, especially the cross selling opportunities to some very large blue-chip companies, to provide SGN with some major growth potential.

Outlook

When SGN reported its 1H12 results, it acknowledged the challenging macro economy and stuck to its FY12 forecast for mid-single digit net profit growth. Longer term, however, it remains in a strong position to benefit from the ongoing shift to digital publishing.

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Ainsworth Game Technology (AGI) is involved in the design, production and sale of gaming technology and software. The group’s major market is Australia, but it also has operations in the Americas and Asia, with a focus on expanding its operations North America.

AGI derives most of its Australian revenue from NSW and Queensland. However it is North America where the group is currently looking to expand its presence. So far it has obtained licences in 16 US states, 84 Indian Tribes, 4 Canadian Provinces

FY12 results

AGI’s FY12 results show a company with a solid growth profile.  Revenue over the year jumped 54% to 151 million. Pre-tax profit surged 212% to $46.2 million, with eight consecutive periods of growth, as displayed below.

The group’s reliance on Australia for earnings has decreased, with 32% of FY12 revenue coming from international sources compared to 24% in FY11. Much of this was driven by the company’s expansion into North America, where revenue was up 109% over FY12.

The group’s focus on more profitable operations saw EBITDA margin increase from 26.2% in FY11 to 37.2% in FY12. AGI’s balance sheet is also in a very strong position, with a net cash position of around $51 million and free cash flow of $14.1 million.

Outlook

AGI’s FY12 results were great. We particularly like the net cash position as it gives the group the balance sheet flexibility to continue its expansion in the US.

At the group’s AGM, it forecasted 1H13 profit growth of at least 25% over the $18.8 million made in FY12. However, today the group said that based on the first five months of the financial year it is now expecting an increase of 49%.

The group said that strong sales have continued in its core domestic markets of NSW and Queensland. We see more good news on the horizon for AGI and we expect further share price appreciation.

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Wotif.com Holdings (WTF) is an online travel services business, which represents 23,500 in more than 67 counties. The group’s main website is wotif.com, but it also operates under lastminute.com.au, travel.com.au, Asia Web Direct, LateStays.com, GoDo.com.au and Arnold Travel Technology.

WTF, through the aforementioned websites, offers a variety of services that include flights, insurance, car rental, and travel accommodation and packages across hotels, motels, serviced apartments, resorts, guesthouses and bed & breakfasts. The service allows customers to book rooms at a heavy discount and at the same time help hotels better manage their vacancies.

FY12 impress, while 1H13 disappoints

At first glance WTF’s FY12 results looked good, however when placed in the context of the weak domestic travel market, the results were fantastic. Revenue over the year was up 5%, to $145.3 million. Net profit was $58 million, up 13.8% on the FY11 result.

The results were driven by an increase in accommodation rates and sales, and also some significant growth in WTF’s flight booking service. WTF’s operating profit margin also increased from 56% to 59%, with the group demonstrating good cost control whilst expanding revenue.

On a more disappointing side, WTF said the first quarter of fiscal year 2013 continues to reflect economic weakness. The 1Q13 performance was in line with the 1Q12 and likely to continue for the remainder of 2012.

The group is essentially saying that it expects little revenue or margin growth for the 1H13 as the operations continue to endure a period of prolonged weakness.

The good news

The AGM was not all bad news with WTF announcing its plans to lift its booking commission rate by 1% from 1 January 2013. This will be followed by a further lift of the same amount on 1 January 2014.

The group had $1.16 billion worth of transactions in FY12, and a 1% increase in commissions on this figure would increase of $11.6 million in revenue.

If the group’s strong operating profit of 59% stays consistent, the increased commissions would equate to a pre-tax profit increase of $6.8 million.

Even with flat transaction growth over the next two years, the two sets of increased commissions suggest the company still has the ability to grow earnings.

Outlook

WTF’s FY12 results showed a company that is able to grow earnings even in a tough environment. We think that the increase in commissions starting 1 January 2013 will negate the effect of continued weakness within the domestic accommodation market.

We would also expect some of the increased revenue to be redirected towards expanding into the less mature flight and holiday letting businesses, which has already started to show promising signs. Given the aforementioned factors we feel WTF has plenty of scope to continue growing its earnings, providing further support for the share price.

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Azimuth Resources (ASX:AZH) is a junior gold and uranium explorer, with projects based in Guyana and South America.

The group holds approximately 8000km² of gold tenements in Guyana, and its main asset is the West Omai gold project, which it is currently exploring.

AZH’s other interests are the East Omai gold project, the Amakura uranium project, and the Pandanus West uranium project in Australia.

The company is an exciting prospect that has produced encouraging drilling results at West Omai. There is growing hope that the group’s maiden resource discovery will be significant enough to help underpin the start of production.

Go Guyana

The West Omai project is AZH’s flagship project, and which may contain the discovery of significant gold resources.

West Omai is part of the same corridor that hosts the Omai gold mine, which is the biggest gold mine in South America, having so far produced 3.7 million ounces of gold.

Azimuth Resources is expected to release a maiden resource estimate from the project sometime this quarter.

Given West Omai’s proximity to the Omai gold mine and the encouraging drilling results thus far, a significant resource discovery could be on the cards.

Gold shoots higher

Being an explorer, AZH is tightly leveraged to gold prices.

Although gold was sold-off heavily in September, the precious metal has bounced back strongly in recent weeks amid global economic uncertainty.

The spot price of gold is back above US$1750 an ounce after crashing to just above US$1500 in late September.

Europe’s debt crisis and the potential for another round of bond purchases by the Fed is likely to lure more nervous investors back into gold, which is likely to support prices further.

Such an outcome would be very beneficial for AZH.

Balanced out

AZH completed a $19.4 million capital raising on 31 October, giving it the balance sheet strength to pursue its Guyana exploration program well into 2012.

The raising has come at an ideal time for AZH, which has smartly taken advantage of its strong share price to shore up its finances.

The group also announced plans in April 2011 to list on the Toronto Stock Exchange.

The listing is expected to boost AZH’s global profile, which will come in handy when the group looks at future capital raisings.

Outlook

AZH an exciting prospect that has produced encouraging drilling results at its West Omai project.

The group is expected to release a maiden resource estimate from the project sometime this quarter, and there is hope the estimate will be significant enough to help underpin the start of production.

AZH’s fortunes are closely linked to the price of gold, and with the precious metal on track for continued gains, we believe this will translate into continued strength for AZH’s share price.

This is one of the hot stocks of the year, rising from 25 cent in June to currently be trading beyond 50 cents.

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Computershare (ASX: CPU) provides technology systems and services for the international securities industry. Its core services comprise the provision of shareholder registry services, employee share plans and associated services such as printing and share registry analytical services.

Computershare’s US$550 million takeover of Bank of New York Mellon Corp’s investor service business has been approved by U.S regulators.

This deal expected to be completed around the 1^st of January and will make CPU the largest provider of share-registry services in the world.

Computershare is one of the hot stocks of the day up around 15%.

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Mineral Deposits (ASX:MDL) is an exploration and development company, focussing primarily on the Grande Cote Minerals Sands Project in Senegal.

Grande Cote is a world class ore body that extends more than 100 kilometres and boasts high quality zircon and ilmenite.

Growing demand for mineral sands means production from Grande Cote is likely to occur in a period of rising prices, boding well for future profitability.

The market has acknowledged this, and as a result MDL has been one of the hot stocks in recent times.

Although capex costs at the project are expected to be significant, MDL’s cash balance and JV with Eramet puts it in a good position to meet funding requirements.

Magnificent Mineral Sands

The mineral sands industry is expected to boom in coming years due to a widening supply deficit.

Global zircon supply is forecast to shrink over the next decade, which will coincide with soaring demand from high growth countries such as China.

Zircon demand is driven predominantly by its use in ceramics. With China modernising its economy, the demand for ceramics, such as tiles, is expected to surge.

This is likely to drive significant zircon price growth, which will benefit MDL as it begins production in 2013.

The supply deficit will take time to narrow given the more than seven years required to bring projects from exploration to commissioning.

Titanium is anticipated to follow a similar path to zircon, in that demand is likely to be fuelled from its use in paint, plastics and paper – key ingredients for China’s growing economy.

Tizir is born

On 28 July the group formed a 50/50 JV with French-based miner, Eramet, known as Tizir Limited.

Under the JV, Mineral Deposits will contribute its 90% interest in Grande Cote (Senegal’s government owns the other 10%), with Eramet contributing its Tyssedal titanium and iron plant in Norway, along with $30 million in cash.

The JV was crucial for MDL as it secures off-take for the majority of Grande Cote’s ilmenite. The ilmenite will be used in the production of titanium feedstock at the Tyssedal plant.

The agreement also secures additional titanium supply for Tyssedal, giving it the capacity to meet growing demand from pigment producers.

Therefore it appears the JV is a win/win for both companies.

Grande Cote is grand

The Grande Cote project is strategically placed in Senegal, located not too far from the Dakar coast. This reduces the time it will take to transport the minerals from the mine separation plant to the port for shipment.

The lack of significant vegetation and overburden also allows for an efficient processing of the mined ore.

Thus when production begins MDL will be operating towards the lower end of its cost curve, giving it a significant competitive advantage.

Grande Cote has the potential to be a Tier 1 asset, with an operating mine life of 25+ years, and expected annual production of 85,000 tonnes of zircon and 575,000 tonnes of ilmenite.

These output estimates will amount to approximately 7% of global supply, putting MDL on track to become one of the world’s bigger producers.

Cash is king

MDL is in sound financial shape, having secured US$136.2 million in a capital raising in June. The raising brought the group’s cash balance at the end of June to US$173.3 million.

Moreover, the company has no external borrowings.

Although Grande Cote requires approximately US$516 million in capex requirements, Mineral Deposits’ array of financing options, including the contribution from Eramet, will help ensure sufficient funding for the project.

Outlook

Mineral sands producers stand to reap significant benefits from China’s voracious demand for resources.

The supply deficit is expected to linger for a while yet, putting MDL in line to achieve major price increases at the same time it begins production.

Grande Cote appears to be a long-life, low-cost asset for MDL, thus giving it a competitive advantage in the mineral sands industry.

Importantly, the company is in sound shape with cash in the bank, no external debt, and a JV with Eramet that has secured off-take for its ilmenite.

Therefore the future appears bright for MDL, and it will be one of the stocks to watch in coming months.

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