List of Stocks to Watch in 2012|Top Shares Picks in 2012At the start of a new year traders and investors alike invariably look to the potential that the new horizon brings.

After a tumultuous 2011, this year that sentiment is even more pronounced as market participants put the last 12-months in their rear-view and look to better times ahead.

At Australian Stock Report we don’t particularly care for long dated predictions about the market as a whole – too much can change too quickly.

We are prepared however, to outline a few stocks that will make for interesting reading in 2012.

Below is a list of stocks to watch in 2012 and a brief outline as to why we think so.

List of Stocks to Watch in 2012|Top Shares Picks in 2012QR National (ASX:QRN) / Asciano (ASX:AIO) – Both companies operate in the transportation industry and are highly leveraged to the mining sector. While they are in competition with each other, both can prosper with the mining boom likely to drive industry revenue. QRN and AIO are likely to List of Stocks to Watch in 2012|Top Shares Picks in 2012experience strong growth from the Queensland area as the state’s coal output moves back into full swing after last year’s floods caused havoc with production.

List of Stocks to Watch in 2012|Top Shares Picks in 2012ANZ (ASX:ANZ) – Our bank of choice is ANZ. While we can’t see an extreme decoupling in price between the big four over the next year, ANZ is our preferred exposure to this sector. ANZ has the second lowest P/E based on current earnings and has a dividend yield approaching 7%, which should provide some support for the stock at this level. The company also has the most exposure to the growing Asian region and one of the lowest exposures to the slowing domestic residential market.

List of Stocks to Watch in 2012|Top Shares Picks in 2012BHP Billiton (ASX:BHP) / Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) – These mining giants are poised for growth in 2012. Both companies were weighed down last year as the market factored in the effects of a possible hard landing in China. It is becoming more evident however, that any slowdown in the ChiList of Stocks to Watch in 2012|Top Shares Picks in 2012nese economy will be akin to a soft landing instead. The other factor that could buoy the mining giants is increased commodity prices due to the likely introduction of further monetary stimulus by the US Federal Reserve.

List of Stocks to Watch in 2012|Top Shares Picks in 2012WorleyParsons (ASX:WOR) – Worley’s provides professional engineering and management services to the energy, resources and complex process industries. The company has significant leverage to the energy sector, specifically through its hydrocarbons (compounds founds in crude oil) division. The company will benefit from any oil supply/demand imbalance that drives up prices. Indeed, some analysts are predicting the price of oil will increase dramatically due to the political unrest in the Middle East. Higher oil prices will encourage the big oil companies to ramp up capital expenditure to the benefit of WOR. The company also has demonstrated an ability to land contracts with the major oil players, evidenced by its recent contract win for the Chevron project in Indonesia.

List of Stocks to Watch in 2012|Top Shares Picks in 2012Saracen Mineral Holdings (ASX:SAR) – On the smaller side of the market, Saracen is a mid-tier WA gold producer that was added to the S&P/ASX 200 on the 28th of December, 2011. This company has forecast gold production of between 120,000 -130,000 ounces of gold a year, which was reaffirmed in a recent update. Saracen is also trying to expand its business with $35 million of capital expenditure planned for the current financial year. The capital expenditure is substantial for a company of SAR’s size, but a strong net cash position of $58 million significantly reduces the funding risk.

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Blue Chip Profits News: Westfield Group (WDC)|WDC StocksWestfield Group (ASX:WDC)  is the largest retail property group in the world by equity market capitalisation. It has investment interests in 126 shopping centres in Australia, New Zealand and the United States

Westfield, which is among the blue chip stocks, revealed a full year 2011 profit of $1.53 billion, a 37.5% rise on the previous corresponding period, slightly ahead of analyst expectations.

Full year revenue climbed 10.5% to $1.46 billion, year on year.

WDC declared a final distribution of 24.2 cents, in line with expectations.

The group also announced it would start an on-market buyback of securities for up to 10% of its issued capital.

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Materials Shares News: Western Areas NL (WSA)|ASX WSA StocksWestern Areas NL (ASX:WSA) is an exploration company that is involved in the development of the Fox Nickel mine and the exploration of nickel sulfides, platinum group metals and gold.

Material stock Western Area reported a 1H FY12 net profit of $24.1 million, reflecting a 64% drop compared to same period a year earlier.

The company said the price of nickel averaged US$8.51/lb in the first half of its financial year compared to an average of US$ 11.61/lb a year earlier.

WSA slashed its interim dividend in half, declaring $0.05 dividend, unfranked.

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Profit & Dividend News: Leighton Holdings (LEI)|ASX LEI StocksLeighton Holdings Ltd (ASX:LEI) offers a variety of project development and contracting services to public and private sector clients in the Asia-Pacific region. Leighton provides design management, civil engineering construction, building, mining, process engineering, telecommunications, waste management and infrastructure operation and maintenance and property development and management. Leighton is listed on the Australian Stock Exchange and is a member of the S&P/ASX 200.

Leighton announced a 1H FY12 NPAT of $340 million, a 57% jump on $216.7 million a year earlier.

Revenue jumped 25% to $12.2 billion compared to the same corresponding period in FY11.

LEI said in statement that the group is confident it is positioned in the best possible markets in the world for at lead the foreseeable future.

The company also said it will pay an interim dividend of 60 cents per share.

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ASX Stocks to Buy: WorleyParsons (WOR)|WOR Shares NewsWorleyParsons (ASX:WOR) provides professional engineering and management services to the energy, resource and complex process industries.

It offers a broad range of services, from feasibility studies to design and project services, and is exposed to a number of sectors.

The group is a leader in its industry and has established long-term relationships with a number of blue-chip companies.

Despite facing obstacles in FY11, WOR was able to grow its profit and revenue, with the Hydrocarbons business driving the result.

Moreover, WorleyParsons is ideally placed for the future, as the lure of high energy prices is likely to drive demand for its services from the bigger oil companies.

Hyper about Hydrocarbons

The majority of WOR’s earnings are in the Hydrocarbons (oil and gas) division.  WOR’s leverage to the energy market is a key attraction, particularly as demand for oil and gas is expected to strengthen due to emerging market growth.

The oil supply/demand imbalance (dwindling oil supplies vs. growing energy demand) is only expected to worsen due to this growth.

The lure of energy price appreciation is likely to encourage oil companies to ramp up capex spending, which puts WorleyParsons in an ideal position to accelerate its contract win rate.

WOR has had a positive start to 2012, winning two major contracts in January.  The first was a US$115 million contract with ExxonMobil, and the second was a US$180 million contract with Chevron (split with a 50/50 JV partner).

LNG is the future

The big oil companies have recognised that the world is moving towards more unconventional sources of energy such as LNG.

There are a number of massive projects being undertaken throughout Australia, and WOR has had a hand in some of the key ones such as Pluto and Wheatstone.

WOR’s experience in developing LNG projects, coupled with the established relationships it has with its blue-chip clients, makes it ideally placed to benefit from this increased focus on alternative energy.

Outlook

As the global growth engine continues to shift from developed economies to the developing regions, there will be increased demand for commodities.

As mining companies look to meet this demand, there is going to be a significant increase in capex activities over the coming years.

This will strengthen the market for WOR’s services, providing it with plenty of growth opportunities, especially in the hydrocarbons space.

WOR is in a sound financial position and is expected to continue the positive earnings momentum into FY12.

Based on one year forward earnings, WOR is trading at a more than 50% premium to the industry average.

Whilst this may appear to suggest the company is overvalued, we feel the premium is justified when considering WOR’s relatively stronger growth prospects, cash flow generation and a five-year average return on equity of over 20%.

The long-term relationships WorleyParsons has fostered with its blue-chip clients is likely to yield considerable benefits for the company, particularly as miners look to capitalise on rising commodity prices as well as the world’s shift to alternative energy sources.

We believe that WOR is poised for growth, and is defiantly a stock to watch for 2012.

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Quarterly Profits News: News Corporation (NWS)|ASX NWS StocksNews Corporation (ASX:NWS) is a diversified media conglomerate with interests in all geographic locations around the world, and in all facets of the media. The principle activities of the company include printing and publishing, books and magazines, television broadcasting and production including both free to air and pay television, and film production and distributions.

Today, ASX 200 listed News Corporation announced its December quarter earnings, showing a net profit of $984.49 million up 65% compared to the same quarter a year ago.

The earnings rise came despite a $33.44 million cost for restructuring the group’s British and Australian newspaper divisions.

NWS reaffirmed its outlook for 2012, saying it still expects the company’s overall operating income to rise in then low-mid double-digit range for the year.

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2012 Stock Trading Portfolio Review Australian Stock ReportAustralian Stock Report presents the 2012  Portfolio Review.

Have you ever wanted to know what the “must-have” stocks are that should be in your portfolio? Do you know what 2012 has in store for the markets? Our Panel Does! Come and hear them present a review of your portfolio!

Here’s how the Portfolio Review works: List 5 stocks from your portfolio, or in which you are thinking of investing. Our panel of experts will tally the requests and select the 12 most popular stocks (and a few of their own) to thoroughly analyse and present their results live at the Review. The experts will then host a Q & A session to discuss current market valuations, trends, and their expectations for local and international markets in 2012.

Even if you don’t get all of your picks reviewed, you’ll get the benefit of comprehensive research on no less than 12 of the most interesting stocks on the Australian share market for 2012: What to buy, what to hold, and what to get rid of!

The Panel consists of:

2012 Stock Trading Portfolio Review Australian Stock ReportGeoff Saffer
Head of Corporate Research
Australian Stock Report
Fundamental Analysis

2012 Stock Trading Portfolio Review Australian Stock ReportCarl Capolingua
Head of Education
Australian Stock Report
Technical Analysis

2012 Stock Trading Portfolio Review Australian Stock ReportKel Butcher
Professional Trader, Author, Trading Coach
World Markets

 

 

Your 2012 Portfolio Review Ticket Includes:
>> a copy of Kel Butchers’ latest book
>> sumptuous buffet lunch
>> refreshments on arrivals

Portfoio Review Locations and Dates:

Sydney - Saturday, February 18, 2012 @ Sir Stamford at Circular Quay, 93 Macquarie Street.

Registrations: 8:30 AM, Duration: 9:00 AM – 13:30 PM. Click now to reserve your seat.

Melbourne - Saturday, February 25, 2012 @ Crowne Plaza, 1-5 Spencer Street.

Registrations: 8:30 AM, Duration: 9:00 AM – 13:30 PM. Click now to reserve your seat.

Brisbane - Saturday, March 3, 2012 @ Brisbane Convention & Exhibition Centre, cnr Merivale & Glenelg Streets.

Registrations: 8:30 AM, Duration: 9:00 AM – 13:30 PM. Click now to reserve your seat.

Perth - Saturday, March 10, 2012 @ The Studio Room, Level 2, Burswood Convention Centre
Bolton Ave & Great Eastern Hwy.

Registrations: 8:30 AM, Duration: 9:00 AM – 13:30 PM. Click now to reserve your seat.

Tickets for the Portfolio Review are only $44 (single) of $66 (double). Click now to learn more about this must attend event.

Australian Stocks News: National Australia Bank (NAB)|ASX NAB SharesNational Australia Bank (ASX:NAB) is one of Australia’s “big four” banks, with a focus on regional banking, wealth management operations, international capital markets and institutional banking business. Brands within Australia include NAB and MLC, and the group is represented in New Zealand by Bank of New Zealand. In the UK the brands are Clydesdale Bank and Yorkshire Bank.

Financials stock, National Australia Bank released its first quarter trading update which showed 1Q FY12 earnings of approximately $1.4 billion, 8% higher than the previous corresponding period.

The bank said that revenue was driven by wholesale banking and to a lesser extent, MLC and NAB wealth.

NAB also revealed that it will undertake a strategic review of its UK operations, with a view to reposition the arm to deal with the current economic situation in the region.

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Industrials Stocks News: Downer EDI (DOW)|ASX EDI SharesDowner EDI Ltd (ASX:DOW), provides engineering and infrastructure management services to the public and private rail, road, power, telecommunications, mining and resources sectors in Australia, New Zealand, Asia and the Pacific. Downer provides rolling stock services, drilling services for the exploration industry, mine planning and management services and highway maintenance.

Industrials stock Downer EDI today announced it has been awarded a six year magnetite mining contract with Karara Mining for provisions of services at its iron ore project in Western Australia.

The contract which commences this month has total estimated revenue of approximately $570 million over the six years.

CEO Mr Grant Fenn said the contract will enhance Downer’s exposure to the expanding iron ore sector and also increase its geographical presence in Western Australia.

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Shares to Buy: James Hardie Industries (JHX)|ASX JHX Stocks NewsJames Hardie Industries (ASX:JHX) is a leading international building materials group that produces a wide range of fibre cement building materials used in the exterior and interior of residential and commercial buildings.

The company is also the largest seller of home siding (imitation wood) in the US, and produces fibre cement in the US, Australia, New Zealand and the Philippines.

Approximately 80% of JHX’s sales come from the housing industry, and the majority of this exposure is via the US housing market.

Although the US property crash has been a millstone on JHX, recent evidence suggests the market may have turned the corner.

JHX focus on efficiency and market share gains has placed it in an advantageous position to benefit from increased US housing activity.

US housing recovery

Although the US housing sector has been in a well established decline for much of the past five years, recent evidence is pointing to a long-awaited recovery.

Among the relevant housing indicators for James Hardie are housing starts and building permits.

Housing starts measure the number of new monthly building constructions, whilst building permits are more of a leading indicator in that they measure the number of new monthly residential building permits.

Since May 2011, both these indicators have been steadily rising in a sign Americans are beginning to take advantage of the country’s record low interest rates.

Furthermore, we see this momentum continuing due to the slowly strengthening US jobs market and the Federal Reserve’s pledge to maintain low interest rates until the end of 2014.

Operating results

In late November, JHX reported a 1Q12 net operating profit of US$41.2 million, which was double its result in 1Q11.

Despite reporting low demand, James Hardie was able to achieve its profit on the back of operational improvements such as a reduction in fixed costs, as well as an increased share of the fibre cement market.

This increased market share, positions JHX well in the event of an acceleration of the US housing recovery.

Outlook

JHX forecast FY12 net operating profit of US$126 – US$140 million.  Although management was cautious about the outlook for US housing, recent data points to a noticeable pickup in this industry.

With US employment inching higher, housing affordability high and the Fed committed to a record low interest rate environment, there are enough incentives to drive continued improvement in residential construction activity.

We at Australian Stock Report believe that a focus on cost control and increasing market share has placed JHX in a strong position to leverage off any US housing recovery.

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