James Hardie Industries (ASX:JHX) is a leading international building materials group that produces a wide range of fibre cement building materials used in the exterior and interior of residential and commercial buildings.

The company is also the largest seller of home siding (imitation wood) in the US, and produces fibre cement in the US, Australia, New Zealand and the Philippines.

Approximately 80% of JHX’s sales come from the housing industry, and the majority of this exposure is via the US housing market.

Although the US property crash has been a millstone on JHX, recent evidence suggests the market may have turned the corner.

JHX focus on efficiency and market share gains has placed it in an advantageous position to benefit from increased US housing activity.

US housing recovery

Although the US housing sector has been in a well established decline for much of the past five years, recent evidence is pointing to a long-awaited recovery.

Among the relevant housing indicators for James Hardie are housing starts and building permits.

Housing starts measure the number of new monthly building constructions, whilst building permits are more of a leading indicator in that they measure the number of new monthly residential building permits.

Since May 2011, both these indicators have been steadily rising in a sign Americans are beginning to take advantage of the country’s record low interest rates.

Furthermore, we see this momentum continuing due to the slowly strengthening US jobs market and the Federal Reserve’s pledge to maintain low interest rates until the end of 2014.

Operating results

In late November, JHX reported a 1Q12 net operating profit of US$41.2 million, which was double its result in 1Q11.

Despite reporting low demand, James Hardie was able to achieve its profit on the back of operational improvements such as a reduction in fixed costs, as well as an increased share of the fibre cement market.

This increased market share, positions JHX well in the event of an acceleration of the US housing recovery.

Outlook

JHX forecast FY12 net operating profit of US$126 – US$140 million.  Although management was cautious about the outlook for US housing, recent data points to a noticeable pickup in this industry.

With US employment inching higher, housing affordability high and the Fed committed to a record low interest rate environment, there are enough incentives to drive continued improvement in residential construction activity.

We at Australian Stock Report believe that a focus on cost control and increasing market share has placed JHX in a strong position to leverage off any US housing recovery.

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CSG Ltd. (ASX:CSV) offers computer and other technology services. The Company offers information, technology, and communications project management and outsourced infrastructure support; applications development services; and sales of document management solutions and telecommunications services.

Small cap stock, CSG today announced that is expects NPAT for the half ending 31 December to be within the range of $9 million – $11 million, down from the $19.2 million in same half in FY11.

The company said the NPAT included a one off cost of $2.1 million in the last quarter of CY12.

CSG cited challenging trading conditions, but did expect an improved performance in the second half.

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Alesco Corporation (ASX:ALS) is small cap stock that is involved in the marketing and distribution of industrial products to the building and renovations, construction and mining, scientific and testing and automotive industries.

ALS distributes products such as cabinets and panelling, earthmoving and truck tires, garage door openers and laboratory testing equipment.

Alesco Corp today released their 1H FY12 results which showed a first half net profit of $7.2 million, in line with the market guidance provided in August 2011.

The company also reported an EBIT down 40% to $15.3 million, which included a trading loss on Parbury of $4.7 million

CEO Mr Peter Boyd said that given the market condition and earnings levels, each business generated solid cash flows and has solid growth opportunities for the future.

Alesco also announced a fully franked dividend of $0.03 per share up from $0.015 in the previous corresponding period.

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St. Barbara Ltd (ASX:SBM) is a gold exploration and production company.  The Company’s exploration projects include its Southern Cross and Leonora Operations which are located in Western Australia.

ASX Small Cap stock, St Barbara today released production figures for the fourth quarter revealing a production increase of 18% compared to the previous quarter.

The company said in a statement that the increase was due primarily to stronger milled volumes and the higher grade of ore mined.

SBM said exploration drilling will increase in the second half with the exploration budget set to increase by $6 million for the year to $22 million.

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St Barbara (ASX:SBM) is an Australian Small Cap gold producer and explorer.

SBM’s primary assets are its Southern Cross and Leonora operations, both of which are located in Western Australia. The company purchased the Gwalia (WA) mine in 2005, which has now become its main focus.

St Barbara today announced it has established an on-market share buy-back facility to repurchase up to a maximum of 15 million of its ordinary shares.

The buy-back will be conducted over a six month period.

The company stated the buy-back facility will enable it to apply its strong balance sheet and cash position to consolidate the company’s capital base for the benefit of shareholders.

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Saracen Mineral Holdings Ltd (ASX:SAR) is an Australian mid-tier gold producer based in WA.

The company bought its major assets off Sons of Gwalia back in 2006 – when the latter went bankrupt – and has done well to develop the assets and move from an explorer to a producer.

SAR’s key assets are located in the South Laverton mining district, 120km North-East of famed gold mining town Kalgoorlie, in Western Australia. This includes around 200 granted tenements and applications pending spread over 2,500 square kilometres.

Since purchasing these assets, SAR has spent money exploring the tenements and developing the projects to production.

The company completed a Definitive Feasibility Study on the South Laverton gold project in December 2008 and started producing gold in early 2010.

Ramping up

Having started production in April last year, SAR has achieved strong production quite quickly and established itself as an enticing small producer.

The company produced 111,163 ounces of gold in FY11, its first full year of production, at an average cash cost of $738 an ounce.

SAR has forecast production of around 125,000 ounces in FY12 at costs of around $700-$750 an ounce. So far FY12 is off to a solid start, with the company recently releasing its September quarter Activities Statement. Production of 31,790 ounces at cash cost of $730 was right in light with guidance.

By de-watering some of its flooded pits, SAR hopes to ramp up production to over 160,000 ounces a year by 2015.  Management has proven to be conservative and reliable so far, offering some reassurance in what is a speculative sector.

Saracen Mineral Holdings has managed significant upgrades to its gold resources and reserves, presently standing at around 3,300,000oz and 880,000oz respectively.  Most of the reserves are open-pit, which allows for easier and cheaper mining.

The sizeable resources and potential underground mining pave the way for a long mine life, while the company has extensive exploration potential to upgrade this further.

The hunt for Red October

SAR’s has planned to spend $35 million on exploration activities in FY12, a sizeable budget given the size of the company.

The company recently completed a placement, raising $50.2 million and helping the company to end the September quarter with $60.3 million in net cash and no debt. A share purchase plan and subsequent placement have raised a further $15 million since.

Together with cash generated from production (almost $10 million last quarter), SAR will not need to raise significant fresh capital to fund this.

Much of SAR’s exploration efforts will be in exploring its Red October project. The company expects to have completed dewatering the pits shortly, to be followed by underground development work.

Previous drilling results have confirmed the continuity of ore body at Red October and further exploration efforts could lead to significant resource upgrades relatively quickly.

Production from Red October is expected to commence in FY12, but potential major exploration success could provide a major share catalyst before then.

Outlook

SAR only started gold production just over 18 months ago but is already generating output of around 125,000 ounces a year.

Incremental production upgrades could come in the next few years, but the significant upside potential comes from the development of its Red October operation.

While SAR offers significant exploration upside, its existing production provides extra protection, and suggests that the market could re-rate the stock and push SAR shares much higher than current levels.

SAR is a defiantly a stock to watch.

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Nexus Energy (ASX:NXS) is small cap emerging oil and gas producer, with operations focused on the Gippsland Basin, offshore Victoria and the Browse Basin, offshore Western Australia.

In 2009, NXS transitioned from explorer to producer with the start-up of the Longtom gas project.

The Longtom project was plagued by production problems in late 2010 due to the detection of mercury in its gas.  However those issues have since been resolved and the project has been delivering record production of late.

A lot of interest currently surrounds NXS’s 85% stake in the Crux liquids project (15% Osaka Gas-owned), which is Shell-operated and has a reserve estimate of around 75 million barrels of oil.

With liquefied natural gas (LNG) seeing global demand as an alternative fuel source, NXS and its peers are in good standing owing to the LNG boom and recovering commodities market.

The company is in the midst of securing financing for its share of Crux’s development, and a final investment decision (FID) is expected by the end of the year.

The Crux of the matter

Nexus is looking to commercialise the Crux project, but before a FID can be reached, it must secure financing.  The group is currently trying to obtain up to US$1 billion in financing, with the lenders currently conducting due diligence.

Encouragingly, NXS has also identified a potential JV partner for the project, and is expecting a binding proposal in the next few weeks.

NXS’ proposed 35% sell-down of its equity stake in the project, combined with the potential US$1 billion in debt financing, are signs that the group is on track achieve the FID by the proposed target date.

The economics of the project have already been confirmed under varying capex and schedule sensitivities.  Construction of the project is expected to total around $1.78 billion.

Therefore, achieving FID by the target date will help alleviate concerns over NXS’ ability to fund the project’s developments costs.

Whilst the stock has rallied ahead of the FID, we believe the market has yet to fully price in the huge revenue potential of the project (assuming a positive FID).

The Longtom and short of it

In late October, NXS reported Longtom gas production of 6.4 petajoules (PJ), which was 7.4% higher than the previous quarter.

Saleable gas production totaled 6.2 PJ, which was up 6.7% on June quarter output. This drove revenue up from $27 million to $29 million in the same period.

The increase in Longtom output has continued the turnaround in this asset, which faced production issues early in the financial year due to mercury detection in the delivered gas.

The installation of mercury removal equipment has so far allowed Nexus Energy to meet gas nominations under its contract with customer, Santos.

Future growth will come from the exploration of Longtom South, which is a prospect located 4km south of Longtom.

Given the proximity of the two fields, it wouldn’t cost NXS as much to develop Longtom South. If gas is ultimately discovered, it will provide another source of cash flow, thus increasing the company’s value.

Outlook

NXS has had a fantastic turnaround in the past few months, as anticipation builds ahead of its proposed FID by the end of the year.

The company is in the midst of securing financing for the project and is also in negotiations to sell down part of its stake.

That’s not to say either of these will definitely happen, as there is always the chance of NXS failing to obtain the required funding.

However, NXS hasn’t indicated any issues with the FID process thus far.  Therefore we believe the potential payoff from taking a position in Nexus Energy is worth the risk.

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Azimuth Resources (ASX:AZH) is a junior gold and uranium explorer, with projects based in Guyana and South America.

The group holds approximately 8000km² of gold tenements in Guyana, and its main asset is the West Omai gold project, which it is currently exploring.

AZH’s other interests are the East Omai gold project, the Amakura uranium project, and the Pandanus West uranium project in Australia.

The company is an exciting prospect that has produced encouraging drilling results at West Omai. There is growing hope that the group’s maiden resource discovery will be significant enough to help underpin the start of production.

Go Guyana

The West Omai project is AZH’s flagship project, and which may contain the discovery of significant gold resources.

West Omai is part of the same corridor that hosts the Omai gold mine, which is the biggest gold mine in South America, having so far produced 3.7 million ounces of gold.

Azimuth Resources is expected to release a maiden resource estimate from the project sometime this quarter.

Given West Omai’s proximity to the Omai gold mine and the encouraging drilling results thus far, a significant resource discovery could be on the cards.

Gold shoots higher

Being an explorer, AZH is tightly leveraged to gold prices.

Although gold was sold-off heavily in September, the precious metal has bounced back strongly in recent weeks amid global economic uncertainty.

The spot price of gold is back above US$1750 an ounce after crashing to just above US$1500 in late September.

Europe’s debt crisis and the potential for another round of bond purchases by the Fed is likely to lure more nervous investors back into gold, which is likely to support prices further.

Such an outcome would be very beneficial for AZH.

Balanced out

AZH completed a $19.4 million capital raising on 31 October, giving it the balance sheet strength to pursue its Guyana exploration program well into 2012.

The raising has come at an ideal time for AZH, which has smartly taken advantage of its strong share price to shore up its finances.

The group also announced plans in April 2011 to list on the Toronto Stock Exchange.

The listing is expected to boost AZH’s global profile, which will come in handy when the group looks at future capital raisings.

Outlook

AZH an exciting prospect that has produced encouraging drilling results at its West Omai project.

The group is expected to release a maiden resource estimate from the project sometime this quarter, and there is hope the estimate will be significant enough to help underpin the start of production.

AZH’s fortunes are closely linked to the price of gold, and with the precious metal on track for continued gains, we believe this will translate into continued strength for AZH’s share price.

This is one of the hot stocks of the year, rising from 25 cent in June to currently be trading beyond 50 cents.

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Mineral Deposits (ASX:MDL) is an exploration and development company, focussing primarily on the Grande Cote Minerals Sands Project in Senegal.

Grande Cote is a world class ore body that extends more than 100 kilometres and boasts high quality zircon and ilmenite.

Growing demand for mineral sands means production from Grande Cote is likely to occur in a period of rising prices, boding well for future profitability.

The market has acknowledged this, and as a result MDL has been one of the hot stocks in recent times.

Although capex costs at the project are expected to be significant, MDL’s cash balance and JV with Eramet puts it in a good position to meet funding requirements.

Magnificent Mineral Sands

The mineral sands industry is expected to boom in coming years due to a widening supply deficit.

Global zircon supply is forecast to shrink over the next decade, which will coincide with soaring demand from high growth countries such as China.

Zircon demand is driven predominantly by its use in ceramics. With China modernising its economy, the demand for ceramics, such as tiles, is expected to surge.

This is likely to drive significant zircon price growth, which will benefit MDL as it begins production in 2013.

The supply deficit will take time to narrow given the more than seven years required to bring projects from exploration to commissioning.

Titanium is anticipated to follow a similar path to zircon, in that demand is likely to be fuelled from its use in paint, plastics and paper – key ingredients for China’s growing economy.

Tizir is born

On 28 July the group formed a 50/50 JV with French-based miner, Eramet, known as Tizir Limited.

Under the JV, Mineral Deposits will contribute its 90% interest in Grande Cote (Senegal’s government owns the other 10%), with Eramet contributing its Tyssedal titanium and iron plant in Norway, along with $30 million in cash.

The JV was crucial for MDL as it secures off-take for the majority of Grande Cote’s ilmenite. The ilmenite will be used in the production of titanium feedstock at the Tyssedal plant.

The agreement also secures additional titanium supply for Tyssedal, giving it the capacity to meet growing demand from pigment producers.

Therefore it appears the JV is a win/win for both companies.

Grande Cote is grand

The Grande Cote project is strategically placed in Senegal, located not too far from the Dakar coast. This reduces the time it will take to transport the minerals from the mine separation plant to the port for shipment.

The lack of significant vegetation and overburden also allows for an efficient processing of the mined ore.

Thus when production begins MDL will be operating towards the lower end of its cost curve, giving it a significant competitive advantage.

Grande Cote has the potential to be a Tier 1 asset, with an operating mine life of 25+ years, and expected annual production of 85,000 tonnes of zircon and 575,000 tonnes of ilmenite.

These output estimates will amount to approximately 7% of global supply, putting MDL on track to become one of the world’s bigger producers.

Cash is king

MDL is in sound financial shape, having secured US$136.2 million in a capital raising in June. The raising brought the group’s cash balance at the end of June to US$173.3 million.

Moreover, the company has no external borrowings.

Although Grande Cote requires approximately US$516 million in capex requirements, Mineral Deposits’ array of financing options, including the contribution from Eramet, will help ensure sufficient funding for the project.

Outlook

Mineral sands producers stand to reap significant benefits from China’s voracious demand for resources.

The supply deficit is expected to linger for a while yet, putting MDL in line to achieve major price increases at the same time it begins production.

Grande Cote appears to be a long-life, low-cost asset for MDL, thus giving it a competitive advantage in the mineral sands industry.

Importantly, the company is in sound shape with cash in the bank, no external debt, and a JV with Eramet that has secured off-take for its ilmenite.

Therefore the future appears bright for MDL, and it will be one of the stocks to watch in coming months.

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Northern Star Resources (ASX:NST) explores and develops mineral resources in the highly prospective Kimberley region.

NST is an emerging gold producer and explorer with a market capitalisation of around $180 million.

Its main project is the Paulsens gold mine which it purchased for $40 million.

The miner expects to release a resource upgrade later this month and a new mine plan for Paulsens this year.

NST recently acquired the 668,000 ounce (oz) Ashburton Gold Project which is close to the Paulsens mine.

Precious metal speed hump

We saw gold and silver futures slide recently as investors reacted to hikes in margin requirements for the contracts.

The CME Group raised margin requirements for both initial and existing positions in gold, copper and silver.

Margins are money investors must put up to be able to trade and hold futures contracts.

Gold lost more than US$100/oz on the announcement, printing a low of around US$1533/oz.

However, gold prices have since recovered from that low and are currently hanging at around US$1665/oz.

The fact of the matter is, the underlying fundamentals behind the gold price rally over the past year are still intact and we are likely to see gold continue to rise.

Ashburton acquisition

NST agreed to purchase the Ashburton Gold Project from Sipa Resources which will be paid for via a royalty on future production.

The deal includes 668,000oz resource and the Mt Olympus Gold Mine, which has previously produced 340,000oz.

This puts NST in a prime position to increase production rates, project life and create shareholder wealth through exploration.

Ashburton is a strategic asset for Northern Star Resources as it provides an immediate resource boost to the miner’s resource base.

High grade drilling results from Ashburton announced last week show NST is on track to grow production to 200,000ozpa.

Results

NST recently posted FY11 profit before tax of $20 million. This profit came after deducting $22 million for the acquisition of Paulsens gold mine and $24 million in depreciation and amortisation expenditure.

The result was aided by record production at Paulsens of 87,069oz at $588/oz cash cost.

NST has $30 million in cash on hand as at 27 September 2011 and is on track to exceed calendar 2011 forecast of $40 million surplus cash, 75,000oz production.

A resource upgrade is set for early 2012 with increases in mine life, production and cashflow expected.

The miner repaid the $40 million acquisition of Paulsens in just seven months.

Being unhedged, NST has maximum exposure to the strong gold prices and as a result it was one of the hot stocks over the course of 2011.

With strong cashflow and a robust balance sheet, NST is in a good position to grow.

Outlook

Gold is set to recover after recently suffering a setback from the CME’s decision to raise margin requirements.

NST’s strong financial position leaves it well placed for further acquisitions in line with its objective of building a major mining house.

With the potential for further acquisitions and strong gold prices backing the unhedged miner, we feel NST will be one of the stocks to watch in coming months.

Recent weakness presents an excellent opportunity for fresh entries.

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