Metcash Limited (MTS) is a marketing and distribution company operating in the food and other consumer goods sectors.

MTS is divided into four business units: IGA Distribution, Campbell’s Wholesale, Australian Liquor Marketers and Mitre 10. All of the business units are full owned by MTS with the exception of Mitre 10, which is 50.1% owned.

Last year, MTS completed a takeover of New South Wales supermarket chain, Franklins. The deal was finalised after the Full Court dismissed the ACCC’s appeal to block the merger on the 30th of November.

Margin squeeze

The domestic supermarket industry is dominated by Woolworths and Wesfarmers-owned Coles, with MTS coming in at a distant third.

Significant price deflation has crimped profit margins across the industry, but MTS has been hit harder than its bigger rivals.

Based on semi-annual figures, MTS’ EBITDA margin has contracted over 20% between November 2009 and November 2011.

In that same time, Wesfarmers and Woolworths have seen their EBITDA margins rise 5.4% and 1.7%, respectively.

There may be many other reasons behind the discrepancy, but it is apparent that MTS is struggling to keep up with the aggressive discounting being implemented by Wesfarmers and Woolworths.

Business restructuring

In early April, MTS shocked investors by announcing a $34 – $43 million restructuring charge related to the consolidation of its businesses and the closure of 15 regional Campbells Cash & Carry (Campbells) branches.

Additionally, MTS will book a $75 – $90 million non-cash restructuring charge related to the underperformance of two JVs in Queensland.

The write-downs followed a disappointing 1H12 for MTS, in which its underlying profit rose just 1.4% on-year to $116.6 million.

Campbells was the most disappointing business unit, with EBITA decreasing 35% to $16 million and EBITA margin dropping 73 basis points (bps) to 1.2%.

IGA Distribution – the largest of all the business units – saw its EBITA rise only 0.8% and EBITA margin slipping 5bps to 4.73%.

Outlook

Conditions for supermarket retailers like MTS have been terrible over the past two years and things are unlikely to turn around in a hurry.

MTS is in the unfortunate position of having to contend with two industry behemoths in Coles and Woolworths.

Metcash: Stocks To Watch

These companies have been forced into aggressive price discounting in order to attract customer sales, and this has come at a huge cost to MTS’ margins.

In response, MTS has looked to streamline its business through consolidation and the closure of its Campbells branches.

However it will be a stock to watch as there are questions as to whether more write-downs may be needed down the track if trading conditions deteriorate further and/or price deflation continues to cut into MTS’ margins.

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Transfield Net Profit Down

TRANSFIELD SERVICES LIMITED (TSE) listed since 2001 and included in S&P/ASX 200, is an international provider of operations, maintenance, asset management and project management services. Clients of Transfield Services include major national and international companies, as well as all levels of government.

Transfield announced that it expects net profit for FY12 to be $105 million, down from previous guidance of between $130 million to $135 million.

The company said its resource sector services company Easternwell had been hit by $7.4 million of unforeseen costs relating to a recent cyclone in Western Australia and wet weather in Queensland.

Bad weather in South Australia also was linked to another $1.6 million in unforseen costs.

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Metcash To Restructure Business

Metcash Limited (MTS) is a leading marketing and distribution company operating in the food and other fast moving consumer goods categories.

MTS operates via three business units: IGA Distribution (retail), Campbells Cash & Carry (wholesale) and Australian Liquor Marketers (ALM; liquor wholesale).

Metcash announced that it will restructure its business, cut 478 jobs and incur one-off charges to position the company for ongoing trading difficulties.

CEO Andrew Reitzer said that difficult conditions are a result of continued deflation which is pushing prices and margins down.

The company revealed its would incur a one-off restructuring charge of 34 million Australian dollars and also book a “largely” non-cash impairment charge of about $75 million-$90 million.

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Metcash Limited (ASX:MTS) is a leading marketing and distribution company operating in the food and other fast moving consumer goods categories. MTS operates via three business units: IGA Distribution (retail), Campbells Cash & Carry (wholesale) and Australian Liquor Marketers (ALM; liquor wholesale).

Metcash today released its first half results, which showed a 14% decrease in 1H profit to $94.4 million.

The company said the decrease was due to grocery price deflation, economic uncertainty and a cut in margins due to increased competition.

Metcash said it expects low-to-mid single digit earnings growth for the full year.

MTS will pay an interim dividend of $0.115.

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Wesfarmers (ASX:WES) is Australia’s leading conglomerate, headquartered in Perth, Western Australia.  It is also widely considered among the market’s blue chip stocks.

The company owns several iconic Australian businesses, including supermarket chain Coles, hardware retailer Bunning’s Warehouse, discount department stores Target and K-Mart, and office supplies provider Officeworks. WES also involves in industrials supplies distribution, coal mining, fertilisers, chemicals and general insurance.

Today, WES announced that it has sold its Premier coal mine to Chinese-based Yancoal, for $296.8 million.

The deal needs approval from Australian and Chinese regulators, and WES said that the sale would generate an additional $90 million in pre-tax profit.

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Goodman Fielder (ASX:GFF) is Australasia’s leading listed food company, delivering products to over 30,000 supermarkets, convenience stores and food service customers throughout Australia, New Zealand and the Pacific Islands.

The company owns a host of iconic bakery and dairy brands, including Meadow Lea, Praise, White Wings, Pampas, Mighty Soft, Helga’s, Wonder White and Irvines.

GFF has announced a $259 million capital raising to improve its balance sheet flexibility.

The group warned that trading conditions were difficult in its baking and dairy divisions, as it contended with higher commodity prices and reduced demand for its brand name products.

It has been one of the shares to sell in recent times due to these problems.

The new equity will be priced at 45 cents a share, representing a 24% discount to its last closing price.

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Coca-Cola Amatil (ASX:CCL) is an Australasian bottler for US-based The Coca Cola Company.

CCL manufactures, sells and distributes Coca-Cola products, including carbonated soft drinks, mineral waters and other non-alcoholic beverages, plus packaged fruit.

It is also considered among the market’s blue chip stocks.

Over the years, the company has successfully reduced its percentage of sugary carbonated beverages and increased its percentage of non-carbonated beverages, alcoholic beverages and food, in order to diversify its earnings stream.

It has also ventured into the manufacture and distribution of premium beer brands and the premium spirit portfolio of global distributor Maxxium through Pacific Beverages (a JV entity between CCA and SABMiller).

The company delivered a solid first half result last month helped by its strategic product positioning in key markets.

Market ace

CCL stands to benefit from SABMiller’s takeover of Foster’s Group. The move is likely to result in the Pacific Beverages joint venture being dissolved.

CCL management estimates it could book a profit of $200-$300 million on the $305-$380 million sale of Pacific Beverages to SABMiller.

From an EPS perspective, this would be equivalent to a 2%-3% accretion.

CCL will also have the opportunity to acquire some of Foster’s assets at multiples that would be EPS accretive to CCL.

As an overall entity, CCL has grown from strength to strength in recent years. The company’s diversification strategy has been key to this growth, which has included the addition of alcoholic beverages.

Drink up to earnings

CCL last month reported a 27.8% decline in 1H11 net profit to $153.6 million.  An interim dividend of 22 cents was declared.

The result was impacted by an $80.5 million charge related to the restructuring of its SPCA Ardmona division.

Underlying profit rose 5.5% to $234.1 million, with revenue growing 3.3% on-year despite the impact of the recent flooding and consumer caution.

At an AGM in June, CCL had said it was looking to target around 5% growth in underlying profit for the 1H11.

The group has been hurt by the strong Aussie dollar, natural disasters and higher resin prices.

Before currency translation effects, first half profit was expected to be around 6% – 7% higher than the prior year.

CCL was expecting to generate stronger earnings in the second half, but said trading conditions remained uncertain as consumers contended with higher living costs.

Taking into consideration the adverse factors CCL faced during the period, we feel the company delivered a solid result.

Looking ahead

CCL will continue to focus on capitalising on its growing alcoholic beverage and non-carbonated soft drinks market, which are growing owing to modern lifestyle trends.

The company has strong brand awareness, and very stable and highly predictable cashflow compared to its peers.

Coca-Cola Amatil is a defensive company which is protected against inflation as it can pass costs on to customers, who are always willing to spend money on CCL’s famous brands.

With the potential for significant earnings upside from the Foster’s takeover, we feel CCL is in a lucrative position.

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Wesfarmers (ASX:WES) is Australia’s leading conglomerate, and one of the most widely know blue chip stocks in the Australian share market.

Since listing on the ASX in 1984, the company has recorded strong growth in assets and profits.

The company owns several iconic Australian businesses, including supermarket chain Coles, hardware retailer Bunning’s Warehouse, discount department stores Target and K-Mart, and office supplies provider Officeworks. WES also involves in industrials supplies distribution, coal mining, fertilisers, chemicals and general insurance.

Today, WES reported its full year results.

FY11 net profit climbs 22.8% to $1.92 billion, exceeding analyst estimates of a $1.88 billion profit.  A final dividend of $1.50 was declared, also beating estimates.

Coles earnings growth outpaced sales growth, reflecting operational efficiencies at the division.  Kmart and Bunnings also recorded earnings growth.

However, Target EBIT slumped 26.5% due primarily to price deflation and clearance activity.

Revenue at the Coal division grew 25.6% on-year, with record export prices and strong demand offsetting the impact to production from the early-year flooding.

WES was optimistic about the outlook given solid operating fundamentals, but said its outlook was subject to any adverse shocks from the fragile global economy.

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Australian Agricultural Co. (ASX:AAC) is the oldest continuously operating company in Australia, supplying domestic and export beef consumers.

AAC is the largest beef cattle company in Australia, and is managed from Brisbane, with regional management located on each station. The business also has one of Australia’s leading composite breeding programs.

AAC has been one of the shares to sell since April, tumbling from a high of $1.70 to current prices around $1.40.

On 25 July, AAC reported a 1H11 net loss of $12.6 million.  This compares to a net loss of $12.2 million a year earlier.

However, revenue jumped 53% on-year to $58.2 million, driven by an increase in cattle sales and favourable seasonal conditions.

AAC reaffirmed FY11 EBITDA guidance of $50 – $60 million, taking into account the Meteor Downs station sale, favourable market conditions and the government’s repeal of the live cattle ban.

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Foster’s Group (ASX:FGL) is a brewing and wine company with a global presence, and whose core operations include Carlton and United Breweries.

In April, FGL shareholders agreed to the beer brewer’s plans to demerge its wine making division.

The division, known as Treasury Wine Estates, was separately listed, whilst the demerger was expected to provide greater flexibility for both companies going forward.

The demerger also increased the likelihood that both divisions could become takeover targets.

Out of Africa

FGL this week rejected a $9.51 billion takeover offer from South Africa’s SABMiller.

The $4.90 a share offer is at an 8.2% premium to FGL’s Monday closing share price.

FGL believes that the proposal significantly undervalues the company.

The move comes after FGL’s recent demerger.

FGL shares have rallied significantly since rejecting the offer as most analysts feel the bid will spark a bidding war.

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