James Hardie Industries (ASX:JHX) is a leading international building materials group that produces a wide range of fibre cement building materials used in the exterior and interior of residential and commercial buildings.

The company is also the largest seller of home siding (imitation wood) in the US, and produces fibre cement in the US, Australia, New Zealand and the Philippines.

Approximately 80% of JHX’s sales come from the housing industry, and the majority of this exposure is via the US housing market.

Although the US property crash has been a millstone on JHX, recent evidence suggests the market may have turned the corner.

JHX focus on efficiency and market share gains has placed it in an advantageous position to benefit from increased US housing activity.

US housing recovery

Although the US housing sector has been in a well established decline for much of the past five years, recent evidence is pointing to a long-awaited recovery.

Among the relevant housing indicators for James Hardie are housing starts and building permits.

Housing starts measure the number of new monthly building constructions, whilst building permits are more of a leading indicator in that they measure the number of new monthly residential building permits.

Since May 2011, both these indicators have been steadily rising in a sign Americans are beginning to take advantage of the country’s record low interest rates.

Furthermore, we see this momentum continuing due to the slowly strengthening US jobs market and the Federal Reserve’s pledge to maintain low interest rates until the end of 2014.

Operating results

In late November, JHX reported a 1Q12 net operating profit of US$41.2 million, which was double its result in 1Q11.

Despite reporting low demand, James Hardie was able to achieve its profit on the back of operational improvements such as a reduction in fixed costs, as well as an increased share of the fibre cement market.

This increased market share, positions JHX well in the event of an acceleration of the US housing recovery.

Outlook

JHX forecast FY12 net operating profit of US$126 – US$140 million.  Although management was cautious about the outlook for US housing, recent data points to a noticeable pickup in this industry.

With US employment inching higher, housing affordability high and the Fed committed to a record low interest rate environment, there are enough incentives to drive continued improvement in residential construction activity.

We at Australian Stock Report believe that a focus on cost control and increasing market share has placed JHX in a strong position to leverage off any US housing recovery.

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We launched our Speculative Report in mid-December 2011 to cater for traders looking to leverage small stocks to make big gains.

One of the unique features of the report is our Movers & Shakers page, which scans the market for the best short-term trading opportunities.

The page has been a great success, picking many of the market’s best performing micro-cap stocks over the last six weeks. Below is a list of 5 of the best stocks we have unearthed:

COMPANY: Peninsula Energy (PEN) is a small uranium developer, with projects in US, South Africa and Fiji. The company recently completed studies that confirmed the viability of two of its projects in Wyoming USA.

TRADE: We unearthed PEN in the report on the 20th of December when its share price was just 2.9 cents and the company had a market cap of only $62 million.

RESULT: PEN has since risen 83% to its last price of 5.3 cents.

COMPANY: Alliance Resources (AGS) is a small diversified exploration company, although its main focus is on uranium through its stake in the Four Mile uranium project in SA. The project has been subject to litigation regarding native title, and AGS shares have rallied strongly in the last six weeks after revealing litigation has been adjourned.

TRADE: We unearthed AGS in the report on 14th of December when it was trading at 21 cents with a market cap of $68 million.

RESULT: AGS has risen 71% since then to trade at 36 cents.

COMPANY: ZYL Limited (ZYL) is a small metallurgical coal explorer, working on a few coal projects in South Africa. In mid-December – the day we featured the stock in the report – ZYL advised the market that it had attracted some takeover interest and had hired Macquarie as its financial adviser.

TRADE: We unearthed ZYL in the report on 14th of December when it was trading at 14.5 cents and had a market cap of $60 million.

RESULT: ZYL has since risen 66% to 24 cents.

COMPANY: African Iron (AKI) is an emerging iron ore player, developing an iron ore mine in the Republic of Congo that is scheduled to start significant production next year. The company received a takeover offer earlier this month from South African miner Exxaro, which has bid up to 57 cents a share.

TRADE: We unearthed AKI in the report on 16th of December, when it was trading at 34 cents and had a market cap of $170 million.

RESULT: AKI has since risen 65% to 56 cents per share.

COMPANY: Golden Rim Resources (GMR) is small gold and copper explorer, operating in West Africa. The company has recently released drilling results from its exploration in Burkina Faso, which showed very high-grade intercepts.

TRADE: We unearthed GMR in the report on 20th of December, when its share price was just 10.5c and the company had a market cap of only $38 million.

RESULT: GMR has since risen 62% to its last price of 17 cents.

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QR National (ASX:QRN) is Australia’s largest rail freight operator and the world’s largest rail transporter of coal from mine to port for export markets.

QRN is a provider of specialist rail engineering, construction and maintenance services in Australia, operating a network of five terminals and more than 40 depots across five states.

The company not only transports minerals but agricultural goods, and is a significant transporter of grain.

Since being privatised by the Queensland government in November 2010, QRN has been a stock to watch with a large percentage of retail shareholders.

QRN has faced some major headwinds since listing, principally the early-2011 flooding and cyclone in that state.

However, the company proved its resilience by managing to record a healthy FY11 underlying profit despite the impact to coal volumes from the floods.

The expansion into the WA and NSW markets also positions the company well for future growth.

Profit shines despite floods

QRN delivered an FY11 net profit of $349.5 million, which compared to a $36.8 million loss a year earlier when it was still owned by the Queensland government.

QR National faced a number of difficulties last year due to the Queensland floods, yet still managed an 11% lift in revenue and a 35% rise in underlying EBIT.

The growth in earnings was achieved due to the company’s focus on cost management and better revenue quality (more customer-focussed contracts).

With a net gearing ratio of less than 10% at the end of FY11, QRN’s balance sheet was in strong enough shape financially to pursue growth initiatives.

Volumes down, but significant growth potential

The Queensland floods had a big impact on QRN’s coal haulage volumes, and the company is yet to fully recover from the damage.

The slow recovery in Queensland coal volumes necessitates an ongoing focus on cost initiatives as well as pursuing new growth opportunities.

The company has recognised the importance of that second point, and is looking to expand its presence in the NSW Hunter Valley coal region and WA’s lucrative iron ore market.

QRN recently signed an iron ore haulage contract with the Karara Iron Ore Project, which is expected to deliver $900 million in additional revenue over the next ten years.

That is not say QRN has forgotten its core Queensland market.  Asciano and QRN recently signed a multi-year deal with Rio Tinto to haul millions of tonnes of coal from its Queensland mines.

Importantly, this deal will leverage QRN’s $1.1 billion project to expand the Goonyella-Abbot Point rail network link.

Outlook

QRN’s management has thus far proven its ability to grow earnings in periods of turbulence.

A focus on improving operational efficiency paid dividends for the company in FY11, and given the slow recovery in Queensland coal haulage, we would look for similar diligence this year.

Along with cost initiatives, QRN is positioning itself for growth via the Goonyella-Abbot Point project and its expansion into the WA and NSW mining industries.

In our view, the positive momentum will translate into more near-term growth for QRN.

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Paladin Energy Ltd (ASX:PDN) primarily explores for uranium in Australia and Southern Africa.

Shares in energy stock Paladin Energy have soared today after the company announced a 47% increase in first quarter production compared to the previous quarter.

PDN also said that spot price for uranium is beginning to show signs of strengthening as new demand emerges.

Paladin also re-affirmed its full year production target and earnings guidance, making it one of the days hot stocks.

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Aristocrat Leisure (ASX:ALL) develops, manufactures, and distributes gaming machines and systems in Australia, New Zealand, the Americas, Asia Pacific, South Africa and Europe.

ALL is the largest gaming machine company in Australia and the world’s second-largest slot machine maker.

The company has been a basket case over the past few years amid weak consumer spending and adverse FX movements, as well as industry and operational problems.

Although ALL’s 1H11 profit was down sharply on-year, certain elements of the earnings release indicate the company is better placed to leverage off a cyclical rebound in its core markets – Australia and the US.

Gambling on weak 1H11

Aristocrat Leisure reported a 1H11 net profit of $24.9 million, which was down 49.5% from 1H10.  On a normalised basis, earnings were down 32% (1H10’s profit was inflated by a one-off gain on an asset sale). An interim dividend of 2.5 cents was declared.

The profit was impacted mostly by higher net interest costs, adverse FX movements and an 8.8% fall in revenue to $310.6 million.

Sales weakened amid tough trading conditions in North America – ALL’s biggest segment.  The division’s EBIT margin also contracted 5.6 basis points due to a higher proportion of second hand sales.

However the Australian operations performed solidly, with revenue there rising 5.5% on-year to $73.4 million.

The launch of the Viridian WS cabinets was well received by customers, driving average selling prices higher and improving margins despite competitive market conditions.

Encouraging outlook

Despite a tough half, ALL confirmed FY11 net profit guidance of 10% – 20% growth on FY10’s $77.2 million.

Although the North American division struggled, there was positive momentum towards the end of the half, with average daily fees increasing due to the rollout of new game titles.

Assuming a continuation of this trend, higher selling prices could be an important driver of earnings in the second half. Also, as legacy products are cycled out, ALL’s margins could see a turnaround due to a more favourable selling mix.

The operating environment is at least showing signs of improvement, with US consumer sentiment having shot higher in recent weeks.

Although market conditions were expected to remain challenging in Australia, Aristocrat Leisure nevertheless forecast a continuation of top line momentum, along with improved selling prices and margins.

Importantly, Aristocrat Leisure’s new product rollout makes it well placed to leverage off a cyclical rebound in both countries.

Market sentiment towards the stock has improved in recent months, and we believe there is further near-term upside to come.

ALL is a defiantly a stock to watch.

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Saracen Mineral Holdings Ltd (ASX:SAR) is an Australian mid-tier gold producer based in WA.

The company bought its major assets off Sons of Gwalia back in 2006 – when the latter went bankrupt – and has done well to develop the assets and move from an explorer to a producer.

SAR’s key assets are located in the South Laverton mining district, 120km North-East of famed gold mining town Kalgoorlie, in Western Australia. This includes around 200 granted tenements and applications pending spread over 2,500 square kilometres.

Since purchasing these assets, SAR has spent money exploring the tenements and developing the projects to production.

The company completed a Definitive Feasibility Study on the South Laverton gold project in December 2008 and started producing gold in early 2010.

Ramping up

Having started production in April last year, SAR has achieved strong production quite quickly and established itself as an enticing small producer.

The company produced 111,163 ounces of gold in FY11, its first full year of production, at an average cash cost of $738 an ounce.

SAR has forecast production of around 125,000 ounces in FY12 at costs of around $700-$750 an ounce. So far FY12 is off to a solid start, with the company recently releasing its September quarter Activities Statement. Production of 31,790 ounces at cash cost of $730 was right in light with guidance.

By de-watering some of its flooded pits, SAR hopes to ramp up production to over 160,000 ounces a year by 2015.  Management has proven to be conservative and reliable so far, offering some reassurance in what is a speculative sector.

Saracen Mineral Holdings has managed significant upgrades to its gold resources and reserves, presently standing at around 3,300,000oz and 880,000oz respectively.  Most of the reserves are open-pit, which allows for easier and cheaper mining.

The sizeable resources and potential underground mining pave the way for a long mine life, while the company has extensive exploration potential to upgrade this further.

The hunt for Red October

SAR’s has planned to spend $35 million on exploration activities in FY12, a sizeable budget given the size of the company.

The company recently completed a placement, raising $50.2 million and helping the company to end the September quarter with $60.3 million in net cash and no debt. A share purchase plan and subsequent placement have raised a further $15 million since.

Together with cash generated from production (almost $10 million last quarter), SAR will not need to raise significant fresh capital to fund this.

Much of SAR’s exploration efforts will be in exploring its Red October project. The company expects to have completed dewatering the pits shortly, to be followed by underground development work.

Previous drilling results have confirmed the continuity of ore body at Red October and further exploration efforts could lead to significant resource upgrades relatively quickly.

Production from Red October is expected to commence in FY12, but potential major exploration success could provide a major share catalyst before then.

Outlook

SAR only started gold production just over 18 months ago but is already generating output of around 125,000 ounces a year.

Incremental production upgrades could come in the next few years, but the significant upside potential comes from the development of its Red October operation.

While SAR offers significant exploration upside, its existing production provides extra protection, and suggests that the market could re-rate the stock and push SAR shares much higher than current levels.

SAR is a defiantly a stock to watch.

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Nexus Energy (ASX:NXS) is small cap emerging oil and gas producer, with operations focused on the Gippsland Basin, offshore Victoria and the Browse Basin, offshore Western Australia.

In 2009, NXS transitioned from explorer to producer with the start-up of the Longtom gas project.

The Longtom project was plagued by production problems in late 2010 due to the detection of mercury in its gas.  However those issues have since been resolved and the project has been delivering record production of late.

A lot of interest currently surrounds NXS’s 85% stake in the Crux liquids project (15% Osaka Gas-owned), which is Shell-operated and has a reserve estimate of around 75 million barrels of oil.

With liquefied natural gas (LNG) seeing global demand as an alternative fuel source, NXS and its peers are in good standing owing to the LNG boom and recovering commodities market.

The company is in the midst of securing financing for its share of Crux’s development, and a final investment decision (FID) is expected by the end of the year.

The Crux of the matter

Nexus is looking to commercialise the Crux project, but before a FID can be reached, it must secure financing.  The group is currently trying to obtain up to US$1 billion in financing, with the lenders currently conducting due diligence.

Encouragingly, NXS has also identified a potential JV partner for the project, and is expecting a binding proposal in the next few weeks.

NXS’ proposed 35% sell-down of its equity stake in the project, combined with the potential US$1 billion in debt financing, are signs that the group is on track achieve the FID by the proposed target date.

The economics of the project have already been confirmed under varying capex and schedule sensitivities.  Construction of the project is expected to total around $1.78 billion.

Therefore, achieving FID by the target date will help alleviate concerns over NXS’ ability to fund the project’s developments costs.

Whilst the stock has rallied ahead of the FID, we believe the market has yet to fully price in the huge revenue potential of the project (assuming a positive FID).

The Longtom and short of it

In late October, NXS reported Longtom gas production of 6.4 petajoules (PJ), which was 7.4% higher than the previous quarter.

Saleable gas production totaled 6.2 PJ, which was up 6.7% on June quarter output. This drove revenue up from $27 million to $29 million in the same period.

The increase in Longtom output has continued the turnaround in this asset, which faced production issues early in the financial year due to mercury detection in the delivered gas.

The installation of mercury removal equipment has so far allowed Nexus Energy to meet gas nominations under its contract with customer, Santos.

Future growth will come from the exploration of Longtom South, which is a prospect located 4km south of Longtom.

Given the proximity of the two fields, it wouldn’t cost NXS as much to develop Longtom South. If gas is ultimately discovered, it will provide another source of cash flow, thus increasing the company’s value.

Outlook

NXS has had a fantastic turnaround in the past few months, as anticipation builds ahead of its proposed FID by the end of the year.

The company is in the midst of securing financing for the project and is also in negotiations to sell down part of its stake.

That’s not to say either of these will definitely happen, as there is always the chance of NXS failing to obtain the required funding.

However, NXS hasn’t indicated any issues with the FID process thus far.  Therefore we believe the potential payoff from taking a position in Nexus Energy is worth the risk.

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Azimuth Resources (ASX:AZH) is a junior gold and uranium explorer, with projects based in Guyana and South America.

The group holds approximately 8000km² of gold tenements in Guyana, and its main asset is the West Omai gold project, which it is currently exploring.

AZH’s other interests are the East Omai gold project, the Amakura uranium project, and the Pandanus West uranium project in Australia.

The company is an exciting prospect that has produced encouraging drilling results at West Omai. There is growing hope that the group’s maiden resource discovery will be significant enough to help underpin the start of production.

Go Guyana

The West Omai project is AZH’s flagship project, and which may contain the discovery of significant gold resources.

West Omai is part of the same corridor that hosts the Omai gold mine, which is the biggest gold mine in South America, having so far produced 3.7 million ounces of gold.

Azimuth Resources is expected to release a maiden resource estimate from the project sometime this quarter.

Given West Omai’s proximity to the Omai gold mine and the encouraging drilling results thus far, a significant resource discovery could be on the cards.

Gold shoots higher

Being an explorer, AZH is tightly leveraged to gold prices.

Although gold was sold-off heavily in September, the precious metal has bounced back strongly in recent weeks amid global economic uncertainty.

The spot price of gold is back above US$1750 an ounce after crashing to just above US$1500 in late September.

Europe’s debt crisis and the potential for another round of bond purchases by the Fed is likely to lure more nervous investors back into gold, which is likely to support prices further.

Such an outcome would be very beneficial for AZH.

Balanced out

AZH completed a $19.4 million capital raising on 31 October, giving it the balance sheet strength to pursue its Guyana exploration program well into 2012.

The raising has come at an ideal time for AZH, which has smartly taken advantage of its strong share price to shore up its finances.

The group also announced plans in April 2011 to list on the Toronto Stock Exchange.

The listing is expected to boost AZH’s global profile, which will come in handy when the group looks at future capital raisings.

Outlook

AZH an exciting prospect that has produced encouraging drilling results at its West Omai project.

The group is expected to release a maiden resource estimate from the project sometime this quarter, and there is hope the estimate will be significant enough to help underpin the start of production.

AZH’s fortunes are closely linked to the price of gold, and with the precious metal on track for continued gains, we believe this will translate into continued strength for AZH’s share price.

This is one of the hot stocks of the year, rising from 25 cent in June to currently be trading beyond 50 cents.

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Computershare (ASX: CPU) provides technology systems and services for the international securities industry. Its core services comprise the provision of shareholder registry services, employee share plans and associated services such as printing and share registry analytical services.

Computershare’s US$550 million takeover of Bank of New York Mellon Corp’s investor service business has been approved by U.S regulators.

This deal expected to be completed around the 1^st of January and will make CPU the largest provider of share-registry services in the world.

Computershare is one of the hot stocks of the day up around 15%.

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WorleyParsons (ASX:WOR) provides professional engineering and management services to the energy, resource and complex process industries.

WOR offers a broad range of services, from feasibility studies to design and project services, and is exposed to a number of sectors.

The group is a leader in its industry and has established long-term relationships with a number of companies, including some blue chip stocks.

Despite facing obstacles in FY11, WOR was able to grow its profit and revenue, with the Hydrocarbons business driving the result.

Moreover, WOR is ideally placed for the future, as the lure of higher energy prices is likely to drive demand for its services from the bigger oil companies.

FY11 results highlight underlying strength

On 24 August, WOR reported a 25% lift in FY11 net profit to $364.2 million. On an underlying basis, profit was up 2.5% to $298.5 million, matching previous guidance.

A final dividend of 50 cents was declared, bringing the full year dividend to 86 cents per share.

It was a solid result considering WOR faced a number of headwinds such as the strengthening AUD, Middle East instability and natural disasters.

The result didn’t really reflect the strength of the underlying business. Revenue grew 19% on-year to $5.9 billion, driving by a strong performance in the Hydrocarbons business.

The group was also in financially strong shape, with a gearing ratio of just 22% and operating cash flow growth of 5.1% in FY11. Moreover it had more than 50% in untapped debt facilities.

Taken together, this tells us WOR has significant firepower to expand its business –organically and/or through M&A activity.

The group forecast good underlying profit growth in FY12, continuing the momentum displayed in the 2H11. The guidance was reaffirmed at WOR’s AGM last week.

Hyper about Hydrocarbons

The majority of WOR’s earnings are in the Hydrocarbons division. Hydrocarbons are organic compounds, found mostly in crude oil.

WOR’s leverage to the energy market is a key attraction, particularly as demand for oil and gas is expected to strength in coming years due to emerging market growth.

The recent market turbulence has raised questions about faltering energy demand in the developed economies, which has been a factor behind WorleyParson’s recent share price weakness.

However we believe these fears are overblown given the oil supply/demand imbalance (dwindling oil supplies vs. growing energy demand) is only expected to worsen in coming years.

The lure of energy price appreciation at a time of growing demand is likely to see the big energy companies continue their ramp up of capex spending, putting WOR in an ideal position to accelerate its contract win rate.

LNG is the future

The big oil companies have also recognized that the world is moving towards more unconventional sources of energy such as LNG.

There are number of massive projects being undertaken throughout Australia, and WOR has had a hand in some of the key ones such as Pluto and more recently, Wheatstone.

WOR won a $235 million contract from Chevron for the construction of management services at the Wheatstone Project.

WOR’s experience in developing LNG projects, coupled with the established relationships it has with its blue-chip clients, makes it ideally placed to benefit from this increased focus on alternative energy.

Outlook

As the global growth engine continues to shift from developed economies to the developing regions, there will be increased demand for commodities.

As mining companies look to meet this demand, there is going to be a significant increase in capex activities over the coming years.

This will strengthen the market for WOR’s services, providing it with plenty of growth opportunities, especially in the hydrocarbons space.

WOR is in sound financial position and is expected to continue the positive earnings momentum into FY12.

The long-term relationships WOR has fostered with its blue-chip clients is likely to yield considerable benefits for the company, particularly as miners look to capitalize on rising commodity prices as well as the world’s shift to alternative energy sources.

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