Share to sell – Graincorp (GNC)


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GNC’s FY15 result was in line with the company’s guidance.

We suspect that FY16 will be another below-average year for cropping and the winter harvest is likely to be downgraded over coming weeks.

With the effects of the El Nino weather phenomenon also likely to weigh – through lower crop yields and less revenue from GNC’s grain handling business – as well as the stock being on the verge of breaking down technically, we feel shorts are an appropriate course of action.

We wouldn’t be surprised to see the stock move towards the $6.50 region over the next 6-12 months.