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Australian Stock Report produces a range of research reports, suited to both active, short-term traders and investors, to more conservative, long-term investors.

TRADING REPORT

The Trading Report provides structured, in-depth, buy and sell recommendations on ASX companies.  The research team employs both fundamental and technical analysis in order to ensure only the best opportunities are presented to clients. The Trading Report is best suited to short- and medium-term traders and investors.

Please consider market bias when constructing your portfolio. If you do not
know what Market Bias Indicator is, please consult the Trading
Information and Guidelines in our investor education.

ASX trading report summary

Market Risk

LOW

Market Bias

4 longs to each short

Market Trend

Very Bullish

WANT OUR LATEST TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS?

Shares to buy: Boral Limited (BLD)

BLDASX BLD is trading at a steep 25% discount to the All Industrials ex-financials on FY18 price/earnings estimates, which is significantly below the historical trading range. This is largely attributable to the proposed acquisition of Headwaters, reflecting the size of the transaction and concerns around coal-linked fly ash and regulatory approvals. In our opinion, investor concerns are overstated. The catalysts that could drive a re-rating include regulatory approvals, delivery on FY17 expectations and evidence of synergy execution. On the technical front, since November last year an uptrend has developed, characterised by a series of higher highs and higher lows. We like the recent compression in the shorter-term EMAs (red) and bounce from the longer-term EMAs (green). This suggests those active in the stock are willing to bid up dips and that longer-term momentum is becoming more bullish. We are targeting a move to $6.50.

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Shares to buy: Downer EDI Limited (DOW)

DOWASX Downer's 1H net profit of $78m beat most forecasts and FY17 net profit guidance was raised 7% - to $175M. The strong result suggests that the earnings recovery is well underway for Downer, and gaining momentum. The recent results release saw the stock pop sharply, up to $7.50. The stock has since retraced to close the gap, finding support in the $6.60 region. Yesterday's action saw a buy signal off this support region and that's our opportunity to consider longs. Traders can be buyers around current levels, with targets to $7.50.

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Shares to buy: Fortescue Metals Group (FMG)

fmg FMG recently confirmed that it is on track to hit the top end of its iron ore export guidance, and possibly exceed it, whilst at the same time continue to cut costs. The company also took its unit costs below $US13 per tonne for the first time in the December quarter, with an average "C1" cost of $US12.54 per wet metric tonne. Fortescue has now lowered its cost for a 12th consecutive quarter. The company managed to pay down another $US1 billion of debt in the past quarter and said it held $US1.2 billion in cash at the end of December, while net debt stood at $US4 billion. After reporting another strong quarter of shipments and cost cuts, chief executive Nev Power said shareholders could be in line for better returns. "We need to continue diverting most of our cash flow to repaying debt. But we will progressively look to increase returns to shareholders," he told reporters. The company declared a 12 cents per share final dividend in August, exceeding analyst expectations. It will declare its next interim dividend on February 22. These are obviously all positives for a company that continues to deliver on its guidance, cut costs and pay down debt, and we believe that market will continue to reward FMG by bidding up its shares. Technically, the stock is in a fairly well defined uptrend, where momentum is strong but not currently overdone. Targets are towards $8.

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vs. ASX ACCUMULATION INDEX

Australian Stock Report’s recommendations are measured against the ASX 200 Accumulation Index. Accumulation indices assume that dividends are reinvested and so measure both growth and dividend income. Price indices (non-accumulation indices) do not take dividends into account and measure price growth only.

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DISCLAIMER: *Performance is derived from recommendations provided by Australian Stock Report’s Trading Report, opened on or after date of acquisition in Nov 2014
*Return figures are gross returns and do not take into account fees or brokerage costs.
*Returns are calculated based on a $50,000 hypothetical portfolio, risking 2% of the overall portfolio balance ($1,000) as a starting point for each trade.
*Due to slippage and gapping, losses can sometimes exceed $1,000 on an individual trade.
*Opening and closing prices for trades (and therefore the prices used for determining aggregate profit/loss) will be those published on the Australian Stock Report website and will be determined by the price at which they could realistically be executed in the market at the time the recommendation is published.
*ASX 200 Accumulation Index Return is calculated based upon the price of the index at the start of the session on the day the first ASX 200 trade was placed, i.e. 24.11.2015

Drawdowns

A drawdown is the reduction of one’s capital after a series of losing trades. A drawdown is quoted as the percentage between the peak and the subsequent trough.

To View Graph, Swipe left or right

DISCLAIMER: *Performance is derived from recommendations provided by Australian Stock Report’s Trading Report, opened on or after date of acquisition in Nov 2014
*Return figures are gross returns and do not take into account fees or brokerage costs.
*Returns are calculated based on a $50,000 hypothetical portfolio, risking 2% of the overall portfolio balance ($1,000) as a starting point for each trade.
*Due to slippage and gapping, losses can sometimes exceed $1,000 on an individual trade.
*Opening and closing prices for trades (and therefore the prices used for determining aggregate profit/loss) will be those published on the Australian Stock Report website and will be determined by the price at which they could realistically be executed in the market at the time the recommendation is published.
*ASX 200 Accumulation Index Return is calculated based upon the price of the index at the start of the session on the day the first ASX 200 trade was placed, i.e. 24.11.2015

Hit rate

Also known as batting average. It’s the number of winning trades divided by the number of total trades. If one had 6 winning trades out of 10, the hit rate, or batting average, would be 60% (6/10).

  • Win
  • Lose
  • Even
To View Graph, Swipe left or right

DISCLAIMER: *Performance is derived from recommendations provided by Australian Stock Report’s Trading Report, opened on or after date of acquisition in Nov 2014
*Return figures are gross returns and do not take into account fees or brokerage costs.
*Returns are calculated based on a $50,000 hypothetical portfolio, risking 2% of the overall portfolio balance ($1,000) as a starting point for each trade.
*Due to slippage and gapping, losses can sometimes exceed $1,000 on an individual trade.
*Opening and closing prices for trades (and therefore the prices used for determining aggregate profit/loss) will be those published on the Australian Stock Report website and will be determined by the price at which they could realistically be executed in the market at the time the recommendation is published.
*ASX 200 Accumulation Index Return is calculated based upon the price of the index at the start of the session on the day the first ASX 200 trade was placed, i.e. 24.11.2015

Outperformance %

Outperformance is calculated as the difference between Australian Stock Report’s recommendations and the ASX 200 Accumulation Index.

To View Graph, Swipe left or right

DISCLAIMER: *Performance is derived from recommendations provided by Australian Stock Report’s Trading Report, opened on or after date of acquisition in Nov 2014
*Return figures are gross returns and do not take into account fees or brokerage costs.
*Returns are calculated based on a $50,000 hypothetical portfolio, risking 2% of the overall portfolio balance ($1,000) as a starting point for each trade.
*Due to slippage and gapping, losses can sometimes exceed $1,000 on an individual trade.
*Opening and closing prices for trades (and therefore the prices used for determining aggregate profit/loss) will be those published on the Australian Stock Report website and will be determined by the price at which they could realistically be executed in the market at the time the recommendation is published.
*ASX 200 Accumulation Index Return is calculated based upon the price of the index at the start of the session on the day the first ASX 200 trade was placed, i.e. 24.11.2015

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