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Welcome to MarketPulse, the Australian Stock Report's financial market blog. In the MarketPulse blog we aim to provide frequent updates on current events across the financial markets, including market wraps, articles in the news, opinions, reviews, financial education and finally our top tip of the week. The blog is published by the Australian Stock Report research and report editing team together with our very own "Passionate Trader", Carl Capolingua.

Evening Market Analysis: Flat Day Flat CloseThe Australian market finished slightly above water today, after a mixed lead from international markets overnight.

The December Wage Price Index showed Australian wages rose by 1% quarter on quarter and 3.7% annualised.

The quarterly rise was higher than the 0.8% increase that economists forecasted.

The index data for the year does show wages rising above inflation, but not at any problematic level.

Seven out of twelve sectors finished in positive territory. Energy plays were collectively the best, helped by Woodside’s 2.5% jump after the company reported its full year results and reaffirmed its 2012 production guidance.

The big four banks were stronger on the day; Westpac put on 0.5% and ANZ advanced 0.6%.

The mining majors were weaker as flash PMI data out of China provided evidence that the country’s manufacturing activity is continuing to slow.

BHP lost 0.1%, while Rio Tinto declined 0.9%.

Computershare (-0.3%) lost ground after posting a 1H FY12 profit of $105.6 million, a 9.7% slide compared to the same period in FY11. The result missed analyst estimates.

Seek soared 10.7% after it reported a 1H FY12 profit of $60.6 million, a 26.5% rise compared to the previous corresponding period. The results beat analyst expectations.

The ASX 200 added two points, to close at 4293.

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Midday Market Analysis: Market Holding Steady

The Aussie market is simply treading water so far today, currently less than five points underwater, at 4287.

Not surprisingly the sectors are fairly well balanced, with healthcare, energy and IT the best, and consumer staples, telcos and materials the worst.

In company news, Suncorp posted a 1H FY12 profit of $389 million, a 74.4% rise compared to the same period in FY11. The results beat analyst expectations.

Elsewhere, CSL revealed a 1H FY12 profit of $483.3 million, a 3.4% fall on the previous corresponding period. The result missed analyst expectations.

Around the region, Asian markets are mainly weaker; the Hang Seng is off 0.6% whilst the Nikkei is amongst the few gainers, up 0.1%.

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Morning Market Analysis: Debt Deal No Panacea

Morning Market Analysis: Debt Deal No Panacea

International markets were mixed overnight with modest losses in Europe offset by modest gains in the US.

The UK’s FTSE shed 17 points (-0.3%) to settle at 5928, whilst the CAC (-0.2%) and DAX (-0.6%) also lost ground despite European leaders agreeing on a 130 billion euro bail-out package with Greece, as investors booked profits on earlier gains in thin trade.

Eurozone consumer confidence improved modestly for the second month running in February, lifting from -20.6 to -20.2.

Stateside, the Dow Jones added 16 points (+0.1%) to settle at 12966, whilst the S&P500 added 0.1% and the Nasdaq slipped 0.1%.

The Dow Jones pushed above 13,000 for the first time in almost four years but could not hold above this key round number into the close.

The Aussie dollar slipped lower overnight, in line with the equity market softness. The Aussie is buying US$1.06.

Oil posted solid gains with investors concluding that the Greek bailout package boosts prospects for the eurozone and the broader global economy. The black gold added 2.5% to US$105.84 a barrel.

Base metals were stronger across the board, adding at least 2.4% each whilst gold also strengthened, adding 2% to US$1,761 an ounce.

In company news, Suncorp has reported a 74% surge in 1H12 net profit to $389 million, with the result comfortably beating analyst estimates. An interim dividend of 20 cents was declared.

Today David Jones is reporting quarterly sales. Woodside and CSL are amongst the other companies reporting earnings. Cochlear ($1.20) also goes ex-dividend today.

Today’s session will bring us data in the form of the CB leading index, 10:00 am, AEDT, MI leading index 10:30 am, AEDT, and the wage price index, 11:30am, AEDT.

Evening Market Analysis: Solid Day For Aussie

Evening Market Analysis: Solid Day For Aussie

Aussies shares closed in positive territory today, following strong leads from European markets overnight.

During the session the deal which gives the debt-stricken Greek nation a second bailout worth 130 billion euros in aid was financially given the OK by eurozone finance ministers.

At home the RBA released their January minutes, which revealed that the reason for keeping rates on hold was the likelihood of disaster in the European had eased.

The minutes showed that while the financial situation in Europe remained fragile, the likelihood of an extremely bad outcome seems to have diminished somewhat over the previous couple of months.

The central bank also noted that Australia’s inflation outlook leaves room for another rate cut but it would only look at an easing policy if demand conditions were to wind back significantly.

Most sectors closed higher, with exception being A-REITS, which were dragged down by Westfield (-2.1%).

The big four provided a boost to the market with NAB the best of the bunch, climbing 1%.

Mining majors advanced amid stronger commodity prices; BHP gained 1.2%, while rival Rio Tinto strengthened 1.1%.

 

Oil Search added 2.6% after its full year 2011 earnings rose by 64% to 235.7 million, on year. The result was ahead of analyst expectations.

OneSteel saw its profit swing from $116 million in 1H FY11 to a loss of $74 million in the 1H FY12. Although the results missed analyst expectations, the company nevertheless surged 12.3% after its positive guidance.

The ASX 200 put on 35 points (+0.8%), to settle at 4291.

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Morning Market Analysis: Greek Hopes Provide Boost

European market pressed higher overnight, extending the rally born out of yesterday’s Asian session.

US markets were closed for the President’s Day holiday.

The FTSE added 40 points (+0.7%) to settle at 5945, whilst the CAC (+1%) and DAX (+1.5%) also posted strong gains.

The gains saw European stocks close near seven-month highs amid optimism that euro-zone finance ministers will approve a bail-out package for Greece.

A French business confidence index was steady at 92 in February, the first sign that confidence was stabilising after trending lower from its mid-2011 peak.

Italian industrial orders and sales rebounded in December with orders up 5.5% while sales rose 3.4%.

The Aussie dollar held firm overnight, holding around the US$1.075 handle, whilst the euro strengthened the most in almost two weeks against the greenback dollar on speculation European finance ministers will settle their remaining differences over a Greek bailout at a meeting today.

Oil rose 1.6% after Iran halted its relatively small oil sales to British and French firms in retaliation against tightening EU sanctions.

Base metal prices posted modest gains in quiet trade, receiving little direction from currencies or economic data, whilst gold added US$9.60 (+0.6%) to settle at US$1,735.50 an ounce.

Today the Reserve Bank releases minutes of the last Board meeting, at 11:30am, AEDT. We will also hear form RBA Governor Stevens at 1:30pm, AEDT.

On the reporting front, Downer EDI, Flight Centre, Oil Search, OneSteel and Sonic Healthcare are amongst those delivering numbers today.

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Trading Markets Weekly Commentary: February 20|Investing NewsAussie shares had a difficult week last week, as a raft of disappointing earnings results drove the market lower.

The ASX 200 dropped 48 points (-1.1%), to close the week at 4197.

Four out of twelve sectors finished in positive territory; however the two largest sectors, materials and financials, were the hardest hit.

Three of the big four banks reported during the week.

CBA fell 0.4%, after it reported a 1Q FY12 cash profit of $3.58 billion, a 7% rise compared to the year earlier. The result was slightly ahead of analyst expectations.

ANZ put on 0.6%, following a 4.8% rise in quarterly cash profit to $1.48 billion. The result was also ahead of analyst expectations.

Rival Westpac dropped 3.4% after its 1Q FY12 cash profit was 1.5 billion, a 3.3% fall from the prior corresponding period.  That result missed analyst expectations.

The major miners were the biggest drag on the market last week as a majority of commodities fell sharply.

BHP and Rio Tinto lost 3% and 4.9% respectively. Iron ore rival Fortescue defied the trend, gaining 1% amid takeover rumours.

The energy sector was weaker during the week despite stronger oil prices. Woodside dropped 1.3% while rival Santos let go of 2.4% as it revealed its FY11 underlying net profit missed expectations.

The major retailers were mixed; David Jones (-1.6%) and JB Hi-fi (-6.3%) lost ground, while Myer (+2.5%) climbed higher.

Billabong soared 41.6% following an offer from TPG of $3.00 a share, a 68% premium to the close before the offer.

Supermarket giant Woolworths defied the weaker market by putting on 1.7%.

Economic News: What Does it Mean?

There was a plethora of economic data released last week. The key ones were consumer sentiment, business confidence, home loan approvals and Jobs data.

Consumer sentiment rose 4.2% in January, after a 2.4 % rise in December. The RBA’s two rate cuts late last year were acknowledged as having an impact on the positive number, although the index is still 5.2% below where it was a year ago.

Business confidence was higher in the month of January according to the NAB Business Confidence Survey.

According to the survey, the Business Confidence Index rose to +4 in the month, after a +3 reading in December. This is still below the long-run average of +6.

The business conditions index increased to +2, after a flat reading the previous month.

The ABS revealed that home loans approved in December rose 2.3% compared to market expectations of a 1.8% gain.

The increase in home loan approvals makes it six months in a row that there has been an increase, likely spurred by diminished prospects of an RBA rate hike.

Employment data revealed the jobless rate fell to 5.1% in January. Economists were expecting the rate to rise to 5.3%.

The total number of people employed jumped by 46,300 in December, which was way higher than economist expectations of a 10,500 net gain.

The result was driven by an increase in part-time employment of 34,000 people, and an increase in full-time employment of 12,300 people.

The result also decreases the likelihood of a rate cut in March by the RBA.

In the coming week the major news will be February’s RBA minutes meeting, which is slated for release on Tuesday 11:30 am, AEDT.

Overseas Market and Commodity Wrap:

International markets finished in positive territory, as hopes mount that eurozone finance ministers will allow Greece to receive the 130 billion euro bailout package it needs to avoid a default.

European stock rallied despite early week jitters that were sparked by Moody’s downgrading the credit rating of six European nations and placing the outlook of another three on negative watch

Among the key European indices, the UK FTSE (+0.9%), the German DAX (+2.3%) and the French CAC (+2%) all gained ground.

In the US, data showed that weekly jobless claims fell 13,000 to a seasonally adjusted 348,000, its lowest level in almost four years.

The major US markets were all stronger, the Dow (+1.2%), Nasdaq (+1.7%) and S&P 500 (+1.4%) climbed higher on the week.

The larger Asian markets surged higher, with Nikkei (+4.9%) and Hang Seng (+3.4%) both extending the previous week’s rally.

Most commodities price dropped sharply; zinc (-6.4%) and nickel (-5.2%) were among the worst performers.

Gold advanced 0.5% while oil strengthened 3.8% on the back of Middle East supply concerns.

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Midday Market Analysis: New Week off to Good Start|ASX NewsThe Aussie market is enjoying strong gains so far today, currently 40 points (+1%) higher, at 4240.

Most sectors are in positive territory with materials, consumer discretionary and energy plays leading the charge higher.

In company news Amcor’s underlying earnings rose 14% to $304.7 million in 1H FY12, exceeding analyst expectations.

UGL has posted a 1H FY12 profit of $55.35 million, a 14.9% fall on the prior corresponding half. The result was below analyst expectations.

Finally, Billabong has continued its run higher today after confirming a $3 a share offer from private equity firm TPG. BBG is trading around $2.85.

Around the region, Asian markets are all higher; the Hang Seng is up 1%, whilst the Nikkei is 1.4% stronger.

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Morning Market Analysis: Greek Deal Nearly Done|Morning ASX NewsInternational markets were mainly stronger on Friday night, as investors took heart from the latest comments on the Greek debt crisis and positive US economic data.

In Europe the FTSE added 20 points (+0.3%) to settle at 5905, whilst the CAC (+1.4%) and DAX (1.4%) fared even better.

Stateside, the Dow Jones advanced 46 points (+0.4%) to settle at 12950, whilst the broader S&P added just 0.2% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost 0.3%.

Over the week the Dow Jones index rose 1.2% with the S&P 500 up 1.4% and the Nasdaq rose by 1.7%.

The Aussie dollar closed just above the US$1.07 handle on Friday night but has gapped sharply higher this morning to currently be trading closer to US$1.08.

Oil continued its recent run, adding 93 US cents (+0.9%) to US$103.24 a barrel.

Base metal prices were mixed; lead rose 1.5% and aluminium gained 0.2% but other metals lost between 1.4-2.3%.

In company news, Bendigo and Adelaide has reported 67% slide in first half profit to $57.9 million.

Commonwealth Bank ($1.37), Telstra (14c) and Oz Minerals (30c) go ex dividend today, whilst we will get reports from Amcor, Bluescope, Challenger Financial, GPT and Lend Lease.

There is no major local economic data due out for today’s session.

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Midday Markets Analysis: Modest Gains|Midday ASX NewsThe Aussie market is faring reasonably well so far today, currently 25 points (+0.5%) higher, at 4204.

The gains aren’t as hefty as might have been expected however, given the strong lead provided by Wall Street overnight.

Most sectors are stronger, with IT, consumer staples, and utilities all faring well.

In company news, Sims Metal groups announced a 1H FY12 loss of $556.5 million, down sharply from a $49 million profit a year earlier.

Elsewhere, Santos’ full year 2011 underlying net profit was up 20% at $453 million, slightly missing analyst expectations.

Around the region, Asian markets are all trading higher; the Hang Seng is up 1.2% whilst the Nikkei is 1.7%, putting into perspective just how modest the local market’s gains are.

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Morning Market Analysis: Data Drives Street Higher|ASX NewsInternational markets put in a mixed performance overnight, with a subdued session in Europe turning into strong gains in the US.

The FTSE shed seven points (-0.1%) settling at 5885, whilst the French CAC added just three points and the German DAX shed six.

European shares recovered in late trade after Greek government sources said that the country had agreed with international lenders on how to achieve budget cuts worth 325 million euros.

Stateside, the Dow Jones added 123 points (+1%), to settle a 12904, whilst the S&P advanced 1.1% and the Nasdaq jumped 1.5%.

New claims for unemployment insurance in the US fell by 13,000 to 348,000 in the latest week – the lowest level since March 2008.

US housing starts rose by 1.5% in January to a 699,000 annual rate – up from an upwardly-revised December result and above expectations near 675,000. US producer prices rose by 0.1pct in January with the core rate up 0.3pct.

The Aussie dollar rallied in line with equity market, moving back above the US$1.07 handle, whilst the euro rose as a report that the European Central Bank is exchanging Greek bonds for new securities bolstered speculation the nation will get its second bailout.

Oil continued to rise, adding another 51 cents to settle at US$102.31 a barrel as hopes that EU leaders would agree to a Greek bail-out package drove equities and commodities higher.

Base metals were weaker with tin and aluminium faring worst while copper fell only modestly. Gold rose slightly, adding 0.1% to settle at US$1730 an ounce.

In company news, ANZ has announced an almost 7% rise in quarterly cash profit to $1.5 billion.  The bank also warned of rising funding costs, which squeezed its margins during the quarter.

Billabong, Spotless and Santos are amongst the other companies reporting earnings today.

There is no major local economic data due out for today’s session.

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