Currency Trading Commentary: 11 May

Currency Trading Commentary: 14 May

As equity markets steadied overnight, so too did risk currencies and the euro. The Aussie dollar posted gains, with the AUDUSD adding 0.3% to settle at 1.0090 at this morning’s NY close, whilst the AUDJPY added 0.7% to settle at 80.67. The Canadian loonie traded at almost parity with its US counterpart before a government [...]

Currency Trading Commentary: Euro Woe Continues

Currency Trading Commentary: Euro Woe Continues

The bias for the EURUSD is bearish.   The shorter-term EMAs have crossed lower and are diverging, and the price action has extended away from the longer-term EMA filter, which is negative.   The price action is also on the verge of breaking down below a key horizontal level which, if breached, could induce further [...]

Currency Trading Commentary: 8 May

Currency Trading Commentary: 14 May

After the global retreat from risk in the previous session, international markets steadied overnight. Equity markets held their ground, as did risk currencies. The Aussie firmed slightly, with the AUDUSD adding 0.2% to settle at 1.0202 at Saturday morning’s NY close, whilst the AUDJPY gained 0.3% to settle at 81.53. During today’s Asian session the [...]

Currency Trading Commentary: Rolling Over

Spot FX (mini) USD_JPY (-)(2)

Since topping out at 84.00 in mid-March, the USDJPY has rolled over, presently trading towards 80.00. The shorter-term EMAs have crossed lower and the price action is on the verge of slipping below the longer-term EMA filter. The last completed daily candle is a bearish pin bar, which is often a precursor for lower prices [...]

Currency Trading Commentary: 2 May

Currency Trading Commentary: 14 May

The bias for the CHFJPY is becoming increasingly bearish.   After topping out around 92.50 in March, the pair has rolled over and is currently trading around 88.50.   The shorter-term EMA have crossed lower and the price action is on the verge of slipping below the longer-term EMA filter.   Whilst we are becoming [...]

Currency Trading Commentary: Buy The Breakout

Currency Trading Commentary: Buy The Breakout

Since bottoming out around 1.9750 in mid-April, the GBPSGD has rallied sharply and is now challenging the late-March and 2012 high at 2.0160. We are bullish on the pair, noting that the shorter-term EMAs are crossed higher and diverging and that the price action is above the longer-term EMA filter, which is positive. The key [...]

Currency Trading Commentary: Sell The Breakdown

Currency Trading Commentary: 14 May

The bias for the AUDUSD remains bearish at this time.   We recently covered the pair and suggested traders set on stop sell orders at 1.0290, looking to catch the next rotation lower.   Since then this level has not been triggered but selling the breakdown remains our preferred play moving forward.   Traders can [...]

Currency Trading Commentary: Buy The Breakout

The bias for the NZDJPY is becoming increasingly bullish. The price action has recently bounced aggressively off 65.50, a support point which has held firm on multiple occasions in recent months. The shorter-term EMAs are turning higher and the price action is approaching a downtrend resistance line which, if breached, will create a buy signal. [...]

Currency Trading Commentary: Aussie Slipping

Currency Trading Commentary: Aussie Slipping

The bias for the AUDUSD is bearish. The pair enjoyed a strong run higher late in 2011 and early in 2012 but since topping out above 1.0800 in late February, the local unit has rolled over against the greenback. The shorter-term EMAs are crossed lower and the price action has recently slipped below the longer-term [...]

Currency Trading Commentary: Sell The Retest

Currency Trading Commentary: 14 May

The bias for the EURGBP is bearish. The shorter-term EMAs are crossed lower and diverging and the price action is below the longer-term EMA filter, which is negative. More importantly, over the last 24-hours the 0.8290-8300 support region has given way. Traders should now be looking to sell into any retest and confirmation of this [...]

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